Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Nigeria

Country profile & diagnostic reading

Data updatedEvidence through 31 Mar 2026
TBF Abundance Score
-70.4
Evidence before Abundance Gate +9.6

TBF Rank

#192of 243

Global standing based on life reachability

NigeriaTrending down: previously #187, now #192.Recent recorded movements
  1. #187 → #1926 Oct 2026 · 19:42 GMT-0500
  2. #184 → #1876 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500

National Abundance Gate

Money-gated

Graded status · five basics not fully cleared

Research Coverage

88%

14 / 16 categories scored

GDP Rank

#47

Shown for context, not as the abundance ranking

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

The five-part direct reading is still pending. Missing gate readings remain pending rather than being converted into invented free-access points.

— Pending

Food

— Pending

Housing / Land

— Pending

Healthcare

— Pending

Transportation

— Pending

Water / Energy

Money Gate score1.3 / 20 Cash-Register Lock93.5 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure85.8 / 100 Money-gated ceiling-46.0

16-category profile

All categories at a glance

Each bar uses the same −100 to +100 evidence scale. Zero is the center line. Select a scored category to jump to its full reading, sources and evidence.

Category readings & evidence

Open any category for the full diagnostic reading

9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
+10.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity+45.0
Reach+40.0
Friction-70.0
Return / Regeneration+15.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

High employment and low headline unemployment coexist with 93% informal employment, low wage-employment reach and material underemployment. The score credits human productive capacity without treating precarious work as returned human time.

Published indicators

Employment-to-population ratio76.10 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Unemployment rate4.30 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Time-related underemployment9.20 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Informal employment93.00 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Wage employment share14.40 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Youth not in employment, education or training12.50 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
+17.5

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity+50.0
Reach+45.0
Friction-55.0
Return / Durability+20.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

High household ownership, especially rurally, is a real shelter asset. Large urban-rural differences, sanitation gaps and informal waste disposal reduce housing reach and quality.

Published indicators

Households owning dwelling70.40 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Urban households owning dwelling49.10 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Rural households owning dwelling80.10 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Households without toilet facility25.00 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
Households disposing refuse in bushes or streets45.60 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+6.0

Base +4.5 · Adoption +1.5

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity+60.0
Reach+20.0
Friction / Waste-85.0
Return / Multiplication+25.0

Abundance Gap: +94.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has immense agricultural capacity, but current national food-access outcomes are severe: 36.3 million people were projected in Crisis-or-worse acute food insecurity for the 2026 lean season, while child stunting remains 40%.

Published indicators

People projected in Crisis-or-worse acute food insecurity36.30 million people

FAO · 2026

Source
Analysed population projected in Crisis-or-worse17.00 percent

FAO · 2026

Source
Children under 5 stunted40.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Children under 5 wasted8.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Women meeting minimum dietary diversity30.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Large domestic agricultural base remains a real capacity

Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.

National Bureau of Statistics / World Bank
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
-3.8

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity+25.0
Reach+20.0
Friction / Loss-80.0
Return / Regeneration+20.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

Water resources and infrastructure capacity are substantial, but safely managed drinking water, sanitation and household handwashing remain available to only around one-third of people.

Published indicators

Population using safely managed drinking water29.90 percent

United Nations Statistics Division · 2024

Source
Population using safely managed sanitation32.20 percent

United Nations Statistics Division · 2024

Source
Population with basic handwashing facilities on premises31.30 percent

United Nations Statistics Division · 2024

Source
Safely treated domestic wastewater flows40.70 percent

United Nations Statistics Division · 2024

Source
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+4.5

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity+40.0
Reach+25.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Burden Removed+30.0

Abundance Gap: +15.0

TBF reading

Electricity and distributed generation provide meaningful capacity, but national household connection remains incomplete, rural reach is low and frequent outages materially constrain household capability.

Published indicators

Households with electricity55.20 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Urban households with electricity79.80 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Rural households with electricity29.90 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Households with earth or sand floor22.20 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Average household power blackouts per week6.70 blackouts/week

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
+5.5

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity+40.0
Reach+30.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Prevention+25.0

Abundance Gap: +10.0

TBF reading

Large health-system capacity and improving child survival are credited, while skilled birth attendance, postnatal reach and mortality outcomes show that care is still not reliably reachable across the population.

Published indicators

Antenatal care coverage63.00 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source
Births attended by skilled personnel46.00 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source
Postnatal coverage within two days42.00 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source
Under-five mortality rate110.00 deaths per 1,000 live births

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source
Neonatal mortality rate41.00 deaths per 1,000 live births

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+5.5

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity+45.0
Reach+25.0
Friction-70.0
Return / Capability+20.0

Abundance Gap: +20.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has a very large education system and meaningful participation, but net attendance of only about half of primary- and secondary-age children leaves major capability unrealized.

Published indicators

Primary-school net attendance ratio49.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Secondary-school net attendance ratio46.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Children one year below primary-entry age in organized learning59.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Girls attending per 100 boys in primary/secondary94.00 girls per 100 boys

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+10.5

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity+50.0
Reach+35.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Time+30.0

Abundance Gap: +15.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has extensive road, aviation and growing rail capacity, but road casualties, congestion and uneven urban/rural access create substantial reach and safety friction.

Published indicators

Road-traffic deaths recorded by FRSC5,421.00 deaths

Federal Road Safety Corps · 2024

Source
Road traffic crashes recorded by FRSC9,570.00 crashes

Federal Road Safety Corps · 2024

Source
People injured in recorded road crashes31,154.00 people

Federal Road Safety Corps · 2024

Source
Rail passengers in Q3743,205.00 passengers

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Rail passenger use grew materially in 2024

NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.

National Bureau of Statistics
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+9.8

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity+50.0
Reach+30.0
Friction-65.0
Return / Continuity+20.0

Abundance Gap: +20.0

TBF reading

Strong family formation and high fertility coexist with serious child-identity and maternal-care gaps. The score avoids treating family size itself as abundance and focuses on stability, child continuity and reachable support.

Published indicators

Children under 5 whose births are registered40.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Children under 5 registered with a birth certificate28.00 percent

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Total fertility rate4.80 births per woman

The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024

Source
Currently married women using modern contraception15.00 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Family and child registration reach remains incomplete

Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.

The DHS Program
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
+27.0

Base +24.0 · Adoption +3.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity+70.0
Reach+45.0
Friction / Concentration-55.0
Return / Productive Ground+30.0

Abundance Gap: +73.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has enormous land capacity and widespread rural agricultural land access. Urban access and formal-title/tenure friction reduce practical spatial freedom.

Published indicators

Households owning agricultural land47.10 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Rural households owning agricultural land69.20 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source
Urban households owning agricultural land25.60 percent

Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Formal land rights and documentation remain separate from physical land use

The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.

National Bureau of Statistics / World Bank
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+12.5

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+65.0
Reach+30.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Delight+30.0

Abundance Gap: +35.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has enormous cultural and natural-delight capacity, but current life-evaluation and displacement/security evidence show that access to peace of mind and delight is uneven.

Published indicators

World Happiness Report life evaluation4.79 0-10 score

World Happiness Report · 2026

Source
World Happiness Report rank106.00 rank

World Happiness Report · 2026

Source
Internally displaced people in FAO emergency context500,000.00 people

FAO · 2026

Source

Verified evidence

High cultural and landscape capacity is not equivalent to lived peace

Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.

World Happiness Report
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
+20.3

Base +18.8 · Adoption +1.5

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity+65.0
Reach / Ecological Function+40.0
Friction / Loss-70.0
Return / Regeneration+40.0

Abundance Gap: +79.8

TBF reading

Nigeria retains major ecological and biodiversity capacity, but forest pressure, pollution, climate vulnerability and land degradation remain substantial. Current restoration and circular-economy measures receive return credit without being treated as completed recovery.

Published indicators

Forest area23.20 percent of land area

World Bank · 2023

Source
Annual freshwater withdrawals6.00 percent of internal resources

World Bank · 2022

Source
Territorial CO2 emissions per capita0.60 tonnes CO2 per capita

World Bank · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Circular and restoration commitments are expanding

Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.

Federal Ministry of Environment
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-0.8

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity+35.0
Reach+25.0
Friction-85.0
Return / Reliability+20.0

Abundance Gap: +10.0

TBF reading

Nigeria has functioning national institutions and some recent rule-of-law improvement, but low WJP standing, high remand detention and prison overcrowding represent severe institutional friction.

Published indicators

WJP Rule of Law global rank120.00 rank of 143

World Justice Project · 2025

Source
WJP Rule of Law score0.40 0-1 score

World Justice Project · 2025

Source
Pre-trial/remand share of prison population65.20 percent

World Prison Brief · 2026

Source
Prison occupancy level125.60 percent of official capacity

World Prison Brief · 2025

Source
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
+11.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity+45.0
Reach+30.0
Friction / Waste-70.0
Return / Circularity+45.0

Abundance Gap: +15.0

TBF reading

Repair and reuse are economically significant in Nigeria and formal circular-economy/EPR systems are expanding. Large informal waste disposal and incomplete collection/recycling infrastructure still prevent strong material return.

Published indicators

E-waste collection centres reported established30.00 centres

Federal Ministry of Environment · 2025

Source
Households disposing refuse in bushes or streets45.60 percent

National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Extended Producer Responsibility is an active material-return mechanism

NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.

NESREA
Material leakage remains large at household level

The 2023/24 GHS reports 45.6% of households disposing refuse in bushes or streets, a major return-system gap despite policy and EPR infrastructure.

National Bureau of Statistics

Abundance Adoption

Verified public uptake of the thinking

Eligible signals can add a bounded bonus to an already-scored relevant category. They do not create missing scores or clear the national money gate.

FarmingFarmersFarmsThe Abundance Principle: Why Nigeria’s future depends on free food, not GDP

Nigerian agricultural publication carried the Trott Bailey Abundance Principle directly into a Nigeria food-security argument, including free food and measurement beyond GDP.

food-nourishment-free-food · authority value +1.5 before category cap

Open publication
FarmingFarmersFarmsBeyond yield: A Bahia foodway experiment raises wider question about agricultural friction

Nigerian agricultural publication carried Foodway, Life-upon-Life field observation and Friction Economy thinking into a Nigerian agricultural context.

living-ground-resilience · authority value +1.5 before category cap

Open publication
The Nigerian VoiceBeyond GDP: What If Nigeria Grew Wealth Where Its People Walk?

Nigerian national online media published the Foodway / Abundance argument for productive public and everyday land, moving the idea into national public discussion.

land-spatial-freedom · authority value +3.0 before category cap

Open publication

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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