Turkmenistan

Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Turkmenistan

Tracking baselineEvidence through 4 Oct 2026
TBF Rank #203 of 229 countries
TurkmenistanHeld position. Previous position: #203. Current position: #203.Recent recorded movements
  1. #203 → #2026 Oct 2026 · 18:42 GMT-0500
TBF Abundance Score -75.0 Evidence before Abundance Gate -10.6 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #86 Coverage 88% Categories scored14 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.

Money Gate score 1.0 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 95.0 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 60.3 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -44.0
Food 0.0 / 4 Housing / Land 0.0 / 4 Healthcare 1.0 / 4 Transportation 0.0 / 4 Water / Energy 0.0 / 4
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
-25.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity-17.0
Reach-23.0
Friction-35.0
Return / Regeneration-21.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

State capacity lowers some costs but household choice and transparency are constrained

Hydrocarbon revenues support public services and subsidies, while employment, price visibility and civic restrictions limit household agency.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
-12.0

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity-4.0
Reach-10.0
Friction-22.0
Return / Durability-8.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Housing provision is substantial but access is not a universal no-payment right

State-led construction is extensive, yet ordinary housing remains allocated, purchased or otherwise administratively/cash mediated.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
-8.0

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity0.0
Reach-6.0
Friction / Waste-18.0
Return / Multiplication-4.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Food prices are heavily managed but ordinary food is not free

State influence and subsidies shape staples, but no broad zero-payment food baseline or national free-school-meal route was verified.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
-15.0

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity-7.0
Reach-13.0
Friction / Loss-25.0
Return / Regeneration-11.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+12.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity+20.0
Reach+14.0
Friction+2.0
Return / Burden Removed+16.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

7% weightHealth & Care Reach
-10.0

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity-2.0
Reach-8.0
Friction-20.0
Return / Prevention-6.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Public institutions guarantee a free-care volume, but financial friction remains

The Health Ministry states citizens receive free care within a state-guaranteed volume, while insurance contributions and high reported out-of-pocket spending prevent stronger gate credit.

Turkmenistan Ministry of Health — tasks and functions
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+10.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity+18.0
Reach+12.0
Friction0.0
Return / Capability+14.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Education is state-provided but openness and international comparability are limited

Public education has broad state support, while data transparency and access to independent learning channels are constrained.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+5.0

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction-5.0
Return / Time+9.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Public transport is inexpensive but explicitly fare-based

Intercity buses publish ticket prices such as 65 manat on Ashgabat–Turkmenbashy routes.

Intercity bus fare reporting
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+5.0

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction-5.0
Return / Continuity+9.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Published indicators

Total fertility rate2.66 births per woman

World Bank World Development Indicators via FRED · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Fertility above replacement gives a positive continuity signal

The 2024 TFR is 2.661, above replacement and therefore positive, though below the authored target of 5.0.

World Bank WDI via FRED
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
-18.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity-10.0
Reach-16.0
Friction / Concentration-28.0
Return / Productive Ground-14.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Land is state-dominated and individual spatial choice is constrained

Agricultural productivity is limited by water scarcity and state allocation, reducing ordinary secure land freedom.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+8.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+16.0
Reach+10.0
Friction-2.0
Return / Delight+12.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Public spaces and monumental urban investment exist alongside civic limits

Parks and public facilities are substantial in major cities, but cultural and civic expression is tightly controlled.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
-25.0

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity-17.0
Reach / Ecological Function-23.0
Friction / Loss-35.0
Return / Regeneration-21.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Water scarcity and soil deterioration are major resilience weaknesses

World Bank reporting highlights declining soil quality and water scarcity in agriculture despite strong energy resources.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-65.0

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity-57.0
Reach-63.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Reliability-61.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Severe civic and information restrictions create major institutional friction

Limited transparency and constrained civil freedoms substantially reduce accessible justice and public accountability.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
-10.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity-2.0
Reach-8.0
Friction / Waste-20.0
Return / Circularity-6.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-05. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0.

Verified evidence

Repair capability exists but circular systems are weakly documented

Industrial capacity supports maintenance, while open data on repair, waste and material return remains limited.

World Bank — Turkmenistan overview

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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