Libya

Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Libya

Tracking baselineEvidence through 5 Oct 2026
TBF Rank — TBF Abundance Score -77.3 Evidence before Abundance Gate -27.4 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #97 Coverage 94% Categories scored16 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.

Money Gate score 4.8 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 76.3 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 69.4 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -37.4
Food 0.8 / 4 Housing / Land 1.0 / 4 Healthcare 1.5 / 4 Transportation 0.5 / 4 Water / Energy 1.0 / 4
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
-35.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity-27.0
Reach-33.0
Friction-45.0
Return / Regeneration-36.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Oil wealth coexists with weak services and high unemployment

The World Bank reports stark regional disparities and weak service delivery despite large hydrocarbon revenues.

World Bank
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
-22.0

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity-14.0
Reach-20.0
Friction-32.0
Return / Durability-23.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Housing capacity is uneven across a politically fragmented state

Urban stock exists, but displacement, unemployment and regional service differences undermine secure household reach.

World Bank
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
-25.0

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity-17.0
Reach-23.0
Friction / Waste-35.0
Return / Multiplication-26.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Food availability is supported by oil income and imports, but ordinary access remains money-based

No universal zero-payment food route was verified and import dependence creates price exposure.

World Bank
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
-32.0

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity-24.0
Reach-30.0
Friction / Loss-42.0
Return / Regeneration-33.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Water service is weak and regionally uneven

The World Bank identifies water among the core weak public services despite national fiscal capacity.

World Bank
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
-15.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity-7.0
Reach-13.0
Friction-25.0
Return / Burden Removed-16.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Electricity capacity exists but reliability varies sharply

Weak electricity service is explicitly identified as a national service-delivery problem.

World Bank
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
-28.0

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity-20.0
Reach-26.0
Friction-38.0
Return / Prevention-29.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Health service delivery remains weak despite national wealth

The World Bank identifies health as a major weak service with strong regional disparities.

World Bank
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
-25.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity-17.0
Reach-23.0
Friction-35.0
Return / Capability-26.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Education systems operate but quality and reach are weakened by fragmentation

Education is another service area the World Bank describes as weak and regionally unequal.

World Bank
4% weightMobility & Reachability
-20.0

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity-12.0
Reach-18.0
Friction-30.0
Return / Time-21.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Fuel wealth does not eliminate fragmented mobility and security friction

Routine transport remains payment- and security-dependent; no zero-fare national system was verified.

World Bank
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
-10.8

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity-30.0
Reach-36.0
Friction-48.0
Return / Continuity-39.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Family Formation = 60% lived family environment (-38.00) + 40% fertility performance (30.12) from TFR 2.298 (2024); final -10.75.

Published indicators

Total fertility rate2.30 births per woman

World Bank WDI via FRED — Libya fertility · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Fertility is modestly above replacement while political instability burdens families

The 2024 TFR is 2.298, positive versus replacement but far below the TBF target; insecurity and service weakness lower lived family stability.

World Bank
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
-25.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity-17.0
Reach-23.0
Friction / Concentration-35.0
Return / Productive Ground-26.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Large territory does not translate into easy secure land access

Political fragmentation, security and infrastructure concentration constrain household use of abundant space.

World Bank
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
-5.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+3.0
Reach-3.0
Friction-15.0
Return / Delight-6.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Coast and cultural heritage offer major non-market value under safety constraints

Mediterranean and historic assets are substantial, but fragmentation and insecurity reduce equal ordinary public enjoyment.

World Bank
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
-35.0

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity-27.0
Reach / Ecological Function-33.0
Friction / Loss-45.0
Return / Regeneration-36.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Oil dependence and water stress weaken long-run resilience

Fiscal capacity is strong when oil performs, but extraction dependence and weak utilities make resilience fragile.

World Bank
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-65.0

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity-57.0
Reach-63.0
Friction-75.0
Return / Reliability-66.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Migrants face profound protection and detention risks

UNHCR reports absence of a national asylum system, criminalization of irregular entry, arbitrary detention, trafficking and refoulement concerns.

UNHCR
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
-32.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity-24.0
Reach-30.0
Friction / Waste-42.0
Return / Circularity-33.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Maintenance is undermined by institutional fragmentation

Oil revenue could finance durable systems, yet health, education, water and electricity service remain weak.

World Bank
6% weightInternational Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
-40.0

How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbours can enter, remain, regularize status and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.

TBFC target: A country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society.

Access-gate research question: Who can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute?

Entry Accessibility+40.0
Migrant Practical Life-65.0
Refugee / Neighbour Welcome-70.0
Flexibility / Continuity-65.0
TBF reading

International Welcome 1.0.0: 25% Entry Accessibility, 30% Migrant Practical Life, 25% Refugee/Neighbour Welcome, 20% Flexibility/Continuity. Verified >100-nationality eVisa adjustment: +0 category points.

Verified evidence

Digital eVisa modernization is positive, but durable welcome policy is strongly negative

Libya launched E-VISA LIBYA in 2026, yet multiple state bodies explicitly reject migrant settlement and UNHCR documents detention and protection failures for a very large migrant/refugee population.

Libyan official source
6% weightExternal Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
-31.8

Documented effects a country, its public institutions or materially supported programs have beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, mutuality, external harm, accountability and repair.

TBFC target: A civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement.

Access-gate research question: Do the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens?

Positive Contribution+5.0
Mutuality / Local Benefit0.0
Documented Harm / Extraction-75.0
Accountability / Repair-45.0
TBF reading

External Footprint 1.0.0: 25% Positive Contribution, 25% Mutuality/Local Benefit, 35% low-harm/non-extractive conduct, 15% Accountability/Repair. Scale is judged relative to national capacity.

Verified evidence

Migration interception, detention and regional instability create a strongly negative external footprint

Policies and practices affecting people on Mediterranean and African migration routes export substantial human harm; limited institutional reforms and international coordination provide only partial accountability.

UNHCR

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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