Hong Kong

Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Hong Kong

Tracking baselineEvidence through 5 Oct 2026
TBF Rank #187 of 243 countries
Hong KongTrending down: previously #182, now #187.Recent recorded movements
  1. #182 → #1876 Oct 2026 · 19:42 GMT-0500
  2. #179 → #1826 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500
TBF Abundance Score -69.2 Evidence before Abundance Gate +4.0 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #41 Coverage 88% Categories scored14 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.

Money Gate score 2.3 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 88.8 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 53.0 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -40.8
Food 0.3 / 4 Housing / Land 0.0 / 4 Healthcare 1.5 / 4 Transportation 0.0 / 4 Water / Energy 0.5 / 4
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
-5.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity+3.0
Reach-3.0
Friction-15.0
Return / Regeneration-1.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Exceptional service density is offset by high housing and work pressure

Dense transit, digital services and compact access reduce travel time, but housing costs and competitive labour conditions create substantial household pressure.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
-45.0

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity-37.0
Reach-43.0
Friction-55.0
Return / Durability-41.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Public housing supply is expanding, but long waits and substandard units remain central constraints

Government reports the subsidised rental housing waiting time fell from 6.1 to 4.8 years and is increasing supply. That is progress, while years-long queues and high private costs remain severe friction.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+10.0

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity+18.0
Reach+12.0
Friction / Waste0.0
Return / Multiplication+14.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Means-tested free school lunch is real but narrow

Eligible low-income primary pupils at participating schools receive government-funded free lunch. Ordinary household food remains purchased and heavily market-mediated.

Education Bureau — Free Lunch at Schools
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
+35.0

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity+43.0
Reach+37.0
Friction / Loss+25.0
Return / Regeneration+39.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Reliable water service includes a genuine free first tier

The first 12 cubic metres of fresh water in each four-month billing period are free, with higher use and sewage charged. This gives a real zero-money base without making the whole water system free.

Water Supplies Department — Water & Sewage Tariff
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+15.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity+23.0
Reach+17.0
Friction+5.0
Return / Burden Removed+19.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Electric power is highly reliable but fully bill-mediated for ordinary households

Dense utility infrastructure gives strong capability and resilience, while electricity and gas remain commercial services rather than dependable no-payment entitlements.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
+35.0

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity+43.0
Reach+37.0
Friction+25.0
Return / Prevention+39.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

A strong public health system remains highly subsidised but explicitly fee-based

Public hospitals and clinics provide deep subsidy and fee waivers, while published charges and annual caps show that ordinary care is not a universal zero-payment route.

Hospital Authority — Fees and Charges
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+40.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity+48.0
Reach+42.0
Friction+30.0
Return / Capability+44.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Strong school and tertiary capacity coexist with cost and competition pressures

Hong Kong maintains high-capacity education and is expanding its international education role; private tutoring, self-financing routes and household competition still add friction.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+45.0

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity+53.0
Reach+47.0
Friction+35.0
Return / Time+49.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
-32.0

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity-24.0
Reach-30.0
Friction-42.0
Return / Continuity-28.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Published indicators

Total fertility rate0.84 births per woman

Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department — fertility explainer · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
-55.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity-47.0
Reach-53.0
Friction / Concentration-65.0
Return / Productive Ground-51.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Land scarcity and lease-market structure sharply constrain ordinary spatial freedom

Public housing and planned supply protect access for many households, while developable land and private housing remain exceptionally scarce and price-mediated.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+30.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+38.0
Reach+32.0
Friction+20.0
Return / Delight+34.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Safety, parks, waterfronts and dense public life are major strengths

Country parks, harbourfront space and dense cultural life provide abundant everyday public experience, though leisure and housing pressures remain commercialised.

Hong Kong SAR Government — 2026 Policy Address
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
+10.0

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity+18.0
Reach / Ecological Function+12.0
Friction / Loss0.0
Return / Regeneration+14.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-10.0

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity-2.0
Reach-8.0
Friction-20.0
Return / Reliability-6.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Low everyday disorder and legal-aid capacity coexist with meaningful legal and eligibility friction

Legal Aid Department data show active public support for access to courts. At the same time, legal aid eligibility and broader public-law changes mean justice is not frictionless or universally cost-free.

Legal Aid Department — Statistics
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
+15.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity+23.0
Reach+17.0
Friction / Waste+5.0
Return / Circularity+19.0

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Reviewed 2026-10-06. Four-rail diagnostic evidence is separate from the direct Money Gate 20 audit and Family Fertility Method 1.0.0. Direct live review against the Trott Bailey Family Civilization target; Money Gate status is calculated separately.

Verified evidence

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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