Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Japan

Tracking baselineEvidence through 29 Sep 2026
TBF Rank #77 of 243 countries
JapanHeld position. Previous position: #77. Current position: #77.Recent recorded movements
  1. #75 → #776 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500
  2. #17 → #756 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500
TBF Abundance Score -57.0 Evidence before Abundance Gate +42.3 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #4 Coverage 88% Categories scored14 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This older research pack has not yet received a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Its historical Reach/Friction evidence is compressed to a maximum transitional 4/20 so we do not invent free-access points that were never researched.

Money Gate score 3.7 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 81.6 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 69.2 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -39.5
Food Pending Housing / Land Pending Healthcare Pending Transportation Pending Water / Energy Pending
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
+34.8

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity+75.0
Reach+55.0
Friction-40.0
Return / Regeneration+45.0

Abundance Gap: +20.0

TBF reading

Japan has high productive capacity and improving paid-leave use, but paid work still consumes substantial weekly and annual time. OECD reports 1,788 annual hours worked in 2024, above its average of 1,736; paid-leave acquisition reached 66.9% in 2024, while 7.7% of employees working at least 40 hours a week still worked 60 hours or more in 2025. The rails therefore recognize improving time protection without treating paid access to essential life as removed.

Published indicators

Average annual hours worked1,788.00 hours/year

OECD · 2024

Source
Annual paid-leave acquisition rate66.90 percent

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2024

Source
Employees working 60+ hours among those working 40+ hours7.70 percent

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
+27.5

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity+85.0
Reach+45.0
Friction-50.0
Return / Durability+20.0

Abundance Gap: +40.0

TBF reading

Japan has very large physical housing capacity and a low official visible-homelessness count, but the 2023 Housing and Land Survey recorded 9.002 million vacant dwellings, 13.8% of the stock, showing a material mismatch between shelter capacity and use. The official homelessness survey is a visual count of people sleeping in specified public places and does not measure all forms of housing insecurity. Current national cost-overburden evidence in this pass is not strong enough to infer friction away, so Reach remains deliberately restrained.

Published indicators

Total dwellings65,047.00 thousand dwellings

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
Vacant dwellings9,002.00 thousand dwellings

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
Vacant dwellings as share of stock13.80 percent

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
People identified in official visual homelessness count2,481.00 people

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2026

Source
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+32.8

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity+75.0
Reach+55.0
Friction / Waste-45.0
Return / Multiplication+40.0

Abundance Gap: +20.0

TBF reading

Japan has sophisticated food distribution and strong productive capability in selected foods, but physical nourishment depends heavily on imports: FY2025 calorie-based food self-sufficiency was 37% and intake-energy self-sufficiency 45%. Food absorbed 28.3% of consumption expenditure for two-or-more-person households in 2024, while estimated food loss remained 4.64 million tonnes in FY2023 despite a long-term reduction. The score recognizes functioning access while retaining import, price and waste friction.

Published indicators

Calorie-based food self-sufficiency37.00 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Intake-energy food self-sufficiency45.00 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Food share of consumption expenditure, two-or-more-person households28.30 percent

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2024

Source
Estimated food loss4.64 million tonnes/year

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2023

Source
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
+63.2

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity+95.0
Reach+94.0
Friction / Loss-10.0
Return / Regeneration+60.0

Abundance Gap: +1.0

TBF reading

Water and sanitation reach is very high. OECD reports nearly 99% access to safe water, while Japan reported FY2025 wastewater-treatment coverage of 94.0%. The remaining gap is geographically uneven: municipalities below 50,000 population were at 85.1%, and about 7.4 million people were not covered by a wastewater-treatment facility. The score therefore remains below the TBF end-state despite broad national reach.

Published indicators

Population with access to safe water99.00 percent

OECD · 2023

Source
Wastewater-treatment population coverage94.00 percent

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
Wastewater-treatment coverage in municipalities below 50,000 population85.10 percent

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
Population without access to wastewater-treatment facilities7.40 million people

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+40.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity+80.0
Reach+90.0
Friction-70.0
Return / Burden Removed+40.0

Abundance Gap: -10.0

TBF reading

Japan has reliable, high-capability energy infrastructure, but domestic energy self-sufficiency was only 15.3% in FY2023 and thermal generation still supplied 68.6% of electricity. Renewables supplied 22.9% and energy-related CO2 emissions were 25.4% below FY2013, showing material transition. Strong household capability is therefore offset by import dependence and fossil-energy friction.

Published indicators

Energy self-sufficiency rate15.30 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Renewable share of electricity generation22.90 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Thermal share of electricity generation68.60 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Energy-related CO2 emissions0.92 gigatonnes CO2

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
+66.5

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity+95.0
Reach+95.0
Friction-10.0
Return / Prevention+80.0

Abundance Gap: 0.0

TBF reading

Japan combines universal core-service coverage, strong financial pooling and very high longevity. OECD Health at a Glance 2025 reports 100% population coverage for a core set of services, 85% of spending covered by mandatory prepayment, 80% satisfaction with availability of quality healthcare and 84.1-year life expectancy. Remaining access and health burdens prevent an end-state score, but national care reach is strong.

Published indicators

Population covered for core health services100.00 percent

OECD

Source
Health spending covered by mandatory prepayment85.00 percent

OECD

Source
Life expectancy84.10 years

OECD

Source
Satisfied with availability of quality healthcare80.00 percent

OECD

Source
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+59.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity+95.0
Reach+90.0
Friction-30.0
Return / Capability+75.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

Japan combines high foundational academic capability with broad system reach. In PISA 2022, 88% of students reached at least Level 2 in mathematics, 86% in reading and 92% in science. At the same time, elementary and junior-high nonattendance reached 353,970 pupils in FY2024, the highest recorded level, so the score preserves strong learning capability while counting the large group not consistently reached by ordinary school participation.

Published indicators

Students at PISA Level 2+ in mathematics88.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Students at PISA Level 2+ in reading86.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Students at PISA Level 2+ in science92.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Elementary and junior-high students classified as nonattending353,970.00 students

Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology · 2024

Source
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+62.3

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity+95.0
Reach+90.0
Friction-20.0
Return / Time+80.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

Japan has exceptionally high-capacity rail mobility and comparatively low road-fatality burden. Rail and tram systems carried more than two billion passenger journeys in April 2026 alone, including 38.2 million Shinkansen journeys, while road deaths fell to 2,547 in 2025, the lowest since the current series began in 1948. The rails recognize strong physical reach and time-efficient public movement without assuming every rural or household mobility burden is solved.

Published indicators

Rail and tram passenger journeys, one-month snapshot2,055.62 million passenger journeys

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2026

Source
Shinkansen passenger journeys, one-month snapshot38.20 million passenger journeys

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2026

Source
Road traffic deaths2,547.00 people

National Police Agency · 2025

Source
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+22.0

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity+80.0
Reach+75.0
Friction-55.0
Return / Continuity-70.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

Japan has substantial childcare capacity and a very small measured childcare waiting list, but family continuity indicators remain under severe pressure. In 2025 births fell to 671,236 and the total fertility rate to 1.14, both record lows in their series. At April 2025 childcare capacity was about 3.03 million places, 2.68 million children were using services and 2,254 children were on waiting lists. The score credits practical childcare reach while reflecting the continuing difficulty of forming and sustaining the next generation.

Published indicators

Births671,236.00 births

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
Total fertility rate1.14 children per woman

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
Childcare-service capacity3.03 million places

Children and Families Agency · 2025

Source
Children on childcare waiting lists2,254.00 children

Children and Families Agency · 2025

Source
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
+15.8

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity+65.0
Reach+30.0
Friction / Concentration-65.0
Return / Productive Ground+35.0

Abundance Gap: +35.0

TBF reading

Japan retains substantial agricultural and forest land, but ordinary productive-land access is institutionally constrained and cultivated land continues to contract. Cultivated land measured 4.239 million hectares in 2025, down 0.8% year on year; average operated farmland per agricultural management entity was 3.6 hectares. Sale or lease of farmland generally requires agricultural-committee permission or an approved intermediary plan. Capacity therefore exists, but reach and spatial freedom remain limited.

Published indicators

Cultivated land area4.24 million hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Average operated farmland per agricultural management entity3.60 hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Ordinary farmland sale/lease generally requires public-law approvalAgricultural committee permission or an approved farmland-intermediary plan is generally required; an unauthorized Farm Act Article 3 transfer is invalid.

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2026

Source
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+46.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+80.0
Reach+70.0
Friction-30.0
Return / Delight+60.0

Abundance Gap: +10.0

TBF reading

Japan offers extensive public natural and cultural capacity, including 35 national parks, and OECD reports that 77% of people feel safe walking alone at night. Average life satisfaction is 6.1 out of 10, below the OECD average of 6.7. A provisional 19,097 suicides were recorded for 2025, the lowest since 1978 if finalized but still a serious burden. The score recognizes public beauty and safety while retaining the measured well-being gap.

Published indicators

Average life satisfaction6.10 0-10 scale

OECD Better Life Index

Source
People who feel safe walking alone at night77.00 percent

OECD Better Life Index

Source
National parks35.00 parks

Ministry of the Environment · 2025

Source
Suicides, provisional annual count19,097.00 people

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
+33.5

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity+75.0
Reach / Ecological Function+60.0
Friction / Loss-55.0
Return / Regeneration+50.0

Abundance Gap: +15.0

TBF reading

Japan remains heavily forested: the 2025 agriculture and forestry census reported 24.75 million hectares of forest/wildland, 66.3% of total land. Protected areas plus OECMs cover 21.0% of terrestrial/inland-water area and 13.3% of marine/coastal area. OECD nevertheless reports continuing pressure on agricultural and marine ecosystems and species. The score therefore credits strong living-ground capacity without treating coverage area as proof of full ecological regeneration.

Published indicators

Forest and wildland area24.75 million hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Forest and wildland share of total land area66.30 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Protected areas plus OECMs — terrestrial and inland water21.00 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2026

Source
Protected areas plus OECMs — marine and coastal13.30 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2026

Source
OECD ecosystem condition findingAgricultural and marine ecosystems remain under pressure despite stabilization in forest, freshwater and urban ecosystem degradation.

OECD · 2025

Source
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
+61.5

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity+90.0
Reach+90.0
Friction-15.0
Return / Reliability+75.0

Abundance Gap: 0.0

TBF reading

Japan combines low violent-crime burden with comparatively strong rule-of-law institutions. The 2025 World Justice Project index ranked Japan 15th of 143 countries. OECD reports a homicide rate of 0.2 per 100,000 in its latest available data. At end-2024 correctional institutions held 40,544 people against capacity of 81,204, a 49.9% occupancy rate. The score reflects strong safety and institutional reliability while leaving room for documented justice and access frictions not captured by national aggregates.

Published indicators

World Justice Project Rule of Law Index global rank15.00 rank

World Justice Project · 2025

Source
Homicide rate0.20 per 100,000

OECD Better Life Index

Source
Correctional institution occupancy rate49.90 percent

Ministry of Justice · 2024

Source
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
+51.5

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity+85.0
Reach+80.0
Friction / Waste-30.0
Return / Circularity+65.0

Abundance Gap: +5.0

TBF reading

Japan has mature collection and waste-treatment capacity and has nearly eliminated direct landfilling relative to many systems, but material circularity is incomplete. FY2024 municipal waste generation was 38.11 million tonnes, 839 grams per person per day; 3.06 million tonnes went to landfill and the recycling rate was 19.3%. 415 incineration plants generated power. The score recognizes durable service capacity and energy recovery while not equating incineration with full material return or repairability.

Published indicators

Municipal solid waste generated38.11 million tonnes/year

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste generated per person per day839.00 grams/person/day

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste recycling rate19.30 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste sent to landfill3.06 million tonnes/year

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Waste incineration plants with power generation415.00 plants

Ministry of the Environment · 2025

Source

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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