Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Japan 🇯🇵

Japan currently ranks #95 of 241 on the TBF Abundance Scorecard, scoring -60.65. This country is money-gated, strongest in Healthcare and weakest in External Footprint across 16 evidence categories.

Country profile & diagnostic reading

Tracking baselineEvidence through 9 Oct 2026
TBF Abundance Score
-60.7
Evidence before Abundance Gate +39.9
How the headline score is calculated

Evidence before Gate = Σ (published category score × category weight × research coverage) ÷ Σ (category weight × research coverage). The five-part Money Gate sets a proportional ceiling, with Friction already in the category evidence score.

Current evidence: +39.9 · Money Gate: 2.50/20 · Cash-register lock: +87.5 · Graded pressure: +87.5 · Headline: -60.7.

The fully detailed gate formula is explained in the Money Gate method; no international score can independently clear it.

TBF Rank

#95of 241

Global standing based on life reachability

JapanLast recorded move: up from #96 to #95.Recent recorded movements
  1. #96 → #9514 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500
  2. #97 → #9614 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500
  3. #98 → #9714 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500
  4. #99 → #9814 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500

Rank journey · newest first

Recorded period 1 of 21: rank 75. 6 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500Recorded period 2 of 21: rank 77. 6 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500Recorded period 3 of 21: rank 77. 9 Oct 2026 · 06:43 GMT-0500 – 9 Oct 2026 · 07:51 GMT-0500Recorded period 4 of 21: rank 73. 9 Oct 2026 · 12:04 GMT-0500 – 11 Oct 2026 · 02:50 GMT-0500Recorded period 5 of 21: rank 97. 11 Oct 2026 · 02:50 GMT-0500Recorded period 6 of 21: rank 98. 11 Oct 2026 · 02:50 GMT-0500 – 11 Oct 2026 · 02:50 GMT-0500Recorded period 7 of 21: rank 97. 11 Oct 2026 · 02:50 GMT-0500 – 11 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500Recorded period 8 of 21: rank 96. 11 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500 – 11 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500Recorded period 9 of 21: rank 101. 11 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500 – 11 Oct 2026 · 12:03 GMT-0500Recorded period 10 of 21: rank 100. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500Recorded period 11 of 21: rank 99. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500Recorded period 12 of 21: rank 100. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500 – 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500Recorded period 13 of 21: rank 101. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500 – 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500Recorded period 14 of 21: rank 100. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500 – 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500Recorded period 15 of 21: rank 101. 12 Oct 2026 · 05:13 GMT-0500 – 12 Oct 2026 · 06:17 GMT-0500Recorded period 16 of 21: rank 100. 12 Oct 2026 · 06:17 GMT-0500Recorded period 17 of 21: rank 99. 13 Oct 2026 · 18:19 GMT-0500Recorded period 18 of 21: rank 98. 14 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500Recorded period 19 of 21: rank 97. 14 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500Recorded period 20 of 21: rank 96. 14 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500Recorded period 21 of 21: rank 95. 14 Oct 2026 · 17:33 GMT-0500NOW #95Oct 2026Oct 2026

Dated changes with readable spacing · diagonal lines show rank movement · horizontal lines show held positions · scroll left for earlier dates.

View detailed rank & score history ↗

National Abundance Gate

Money-gated

Graded status · five basics not fully cleared

Research Coverage

97%
Coverage calculation

Sum of each published category weight × its documented scoring coverage ÷ 100. The percentage measures completed scoring slots, not independent verification of every claim. For the current country:

9.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 9.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 7.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 80.0% + 6.0 × 78.0% = 97.48% weighted coverage

Unreviewed international categories do not receive fabricated coverage or zero scores.

14 / 14 domestic categories scored; 2 / 2 international categories with documented research (scores require full audit)

GDP Rank

#4

Shown for context, not as the abundance ranking

Money Gate · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

All five basics must reach 4/4 before a country can cross zero. Open any gate reading to see exactly why its points were assigned and review the source record.

Reach-to-Money-Gate Clearance 2.0: These five gates measure effective no-payment access, not installed capacity alone. Under new source-backed reviews, 0, 0.5, 1, 2, 3 and 4 points track verified free access to 0%, some but less than 30%, 30%+, 50%+, 75%+ and 100% of the population respectively. The higher levels require reliable real use; 4/4 requires universally accessible, reliable service without ordinary charges or exclusions. Missing population figures remain pending. Older gate points remain archived until re-audited.

0.5 / 4

Food

Why 0.5 / 4?

Since April 2026 the government supports public primary school ingredient costs; municipalities can still levy amounts above the standard and this is not household food supply.

Earlier-method Money Gate finding. A measured, source-linked free-access population share is still required to score this gate using Reach-to-Clearance 2.0; this historical reading has not been silently changed.

Point calculation

0.50 ÷ 4 × 100 = 12.50% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.

Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.

Sources for this gate
Gate finding reviewed 2026-10-10
0.3 / 4

Housing / Land

Why 0.3 / 4?

The Public Housing Act uses income-linked rent, not broadly unconditional free housing.

Earlier-method Money Gate finding. A measured, source-linked free-access population share is still required to score this gate using Reach-to-Clearance 2.0; this historical reading has not been silently changed.

Point calculation

0.25 ÷ 4 × 100 = 6.25% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.

Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.

Sources for this gate
Gate finding reviewed 2026-10-10
1.5 / 4

Healthcare

Why 1.5 / 4?

Universal health insurance coverage is substantive but routine patient co-payments and premiums remain; it is not completely no-pay healthcare.

Earlier-method Money Gate finding. A measured, source-linked free-access population share is still required to score this gate using Reach-to-Clearance 2.0; this historical reading has not been silently changed.

Point calculation

1.50 ÷ 4 × 100 = 37.50% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.

Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.

Sources for this gate
Gate finding reviewed 2026-10-10
0.0 / 4

Transportation

Why 0.0 / 4?

Tokyo metropolitan rail publishes ordinary paid fares; no national general zero-fare transport entitlement established.

Earlier-method Money Gate finding. A measured, source-linked free-access population share is still required to score this gate using Reach-to-Clearance 2.0; this historical reading has not been silently changed.

Point calculation

0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.

Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.

Sources for this gate
Gate finding reviewed 2026-10-10
0.3 / 4

Water / Energy

Why 0.3 / 4?

Tokyo briefly waived only water basic fees during summer 2026; usage and sewer bills remained and free supply was not national.

Earlier-method Money Gate finding. A measured, source-linked free-access population share is still required to score this gate using Reach-to-Clearance 2.0; this historical reading has not been silently changed.

Point calculation

0.25 ÷ 4 × 100 = 6.25% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.

Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.

Sources for this gate
Gate finding reviewed 2026-10-10
Money Gate score
  • Food0.5 / 4
  • Housing / Land0.3 / 4
  • Healthcare1.5 / 4
  • Transportation0.0 / 4
  • Water / Energy0.3 / 4
  • Money still needed17.5 / 20

Grey means points not yet earned toward fully money-free basic life—not a cash price or currency sum.

Why 2.5 / 20?

The Money Gate total is the sum of the five direct 0–4 readings. Every basic need remains visible separately so one strong area cannot hide another weak one.

Actual calculation

Food 0.50 + Housing / Land 0.25 + Healthcare 1.50 + Transportation 0.00 + Water / Energy 0.25 = 2.50 / 20

A country remains money-gated until the total reaches 20 / 20.

Cash-Register Lock
87.5 / 100
Why 87.5 / 100?

The five direct Money Gate readings total 0–20. Every point removes five of the 100 payment-lock units; a 7/20 reading produces a 65/100 lock.

Actual calculation

100 - (2.50 × 5) = 87.50

Friction Economy Pressure
69.2 / 100
Why 69.2 / 100?

Friction is visible as its own 0–100 contextual reading from domestic category rails. Its effect is already in the evidence score and is not applied to the ceiling again.

Actual calculation

(100 - -38.35) ÷ 2 = 69.18 / 100

The weighted Friction rail comes from the published domestic category rails.

Money-gated ceiling
-43.8
Why -43.8?

Each Money Gate point raises the negative ceiling by 2.5 points: 0/20 → −50, 7/20 → −32.5, 10/20 → −25, 19.5/20 → −1.25. At 20/20 the gate is removed, so the evidence score becomes the headline directly.

Actual calculation

87.50 = 87.50 (Friction already counted in category scores)

-50 + 2.5 × 2.50 = -43.8

16-category profile

All categories at a glance

All sixteen categories use the −100 to +100 evidence scale once verified. International Welcome and External Footprint remain pending until their rail scores are properly researched. Select a category for sourced findings and transparent calculations.

Category readings & evidence

Open any category for the full diagnostic reading

9% weight Human Time & Burden Return
+34.8↓

Score breakdown

Human Time & Burden Return

+34.8
Capacity 25%
+75.0× 25%= +18.8 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 18.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

OECD reports Japan at 1,788 hours in 2024 versus an OECD average of 1,736. This is an annual national comparison, not a measure of unpaid household work.

Reach 35%
+55.0× 35%= +19.3 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

55.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 19.25 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

OECD reports Japan at 1,788 hours in 2024 versus an OECD average of 1,736. This is an annual national comparison, not a measure of unpaid household work.

Japanese labour ministry publishes a 2025 Karoshi prevention white paper. Occupational overwork risk merits assessment beyond annual average paid hours, but population prevalence of coercive drinking cannot be presumed from a white paper alone.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction 25%
-40.0× 25%= -10.0 points
Exact point calculation

-40.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -10.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Japanese labour ministry publishes a 2025 Karoshi prevention white paper. Occupational overwork risk merits assessment beyond annual average paid hours, but population prevalence of coercive drinking cannot be presumed from a white paper alone.

Return / Regeneration 15%
+45.0× 15%= +6.8 points
Exact point calculation

45.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 6.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Annual paid-leave acquisition rate: 66.90 percent

Weighted rail subtotal+34.8 Published category score+34.8 Contribution to national evidence score+3.2
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 18.75 + 19.25 + -10.00 + 6.75 = 34.75

Base: 34.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +34.8 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 34.75 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 3.21 points

This category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +3.2 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +20.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — human-time-burden domestic evidence retained

OECD reports Japan at 1,788 hours in 2024 versus an OECD average of 1,736. This is an annual national comparison, not a measure of unpaid household work.

2026-10-10 OECD
2026 reset audit — Japan — family time across work and home

Japanese labour ministry publishes a 2025 Karoshi prevention white paper. Occupational overwork risk merits assessment beyond annual average paid hours, but population prevalence of coercive drinking cannot be presumed from a white paper alone.

2025-12-31 Japan Ministry of Health Labour and Welfare

Published indicators

Average annual hours worked1,788.00 hours/year

OECD · 2024

Source
Annual paid-leave acquisition rate66.90 percent

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2024

Source
Employees working 60+ hours among those working 40+ hours7.70 percent

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
8% weight Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach
+27.5↓

Score breakdown

Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach

+27.5
Capacity 25%
+85.0× 25%= +21.3 points
Exact point calculation

85.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 21.25 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Final national housing-stock total from the five-year Housing and Land Survey.

Reach 35%
+45.0× 35%= +15.8 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Housing / Land 0.25/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

45.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 15.75 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

People identified in official visual homelessness count: 2,481.00 people

Friction 25%
-50.0× 25%= -12.5 points
Exact point calculation

-50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -12.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Vacant dwellings: 9,002.00 thousand dwellings

Vacant dwellings as share of stock: 13.80 percent

Return / Durability 15%
+20.0× 15%= +3.0 points
Exact point calculation

20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Final national housing-stock total from the five-year Housing and Land Survey.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+27.5 Published category score+27.5 Contribution to national evidence score+2.3
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 21.25 + 15.75 + -12.50 + 3.00 = 27.50

Base: 27.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +27.5 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 27.50 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.26 points

This category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.3 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +40.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — housing-shelter-reach domestic evidence retained

Final national housing-stock total from the five-year Housing and Land Survey.

2026-10-10 Statistics Bureau of Japan

Published indicators

Total dwellings65,047.00 thousand dwellings

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
Vacant dwellings9,002.00 thousand dwellings

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
Vacant dwellings as share of stock13.80 percent

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2023

Source
People identified in official visual homelessness count2,481.00 people

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2026

Source
9% weight Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+32.8↓

Score breakdown

Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance

+32.8
Capacity 25%
+75.0× 25%= +18.8 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 18.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Average for two-or-more-person households. It is an expenditure-burden signal, not a direct national measure of food deprivation.

Reach 35%
+55.0× 35%= +19.3 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Food 0.50/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

55.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 19.25 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Average for two-or-more-person households. It is an expenditure-burden signal, not a direct national measure of food deprivation.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction / Waste 25%
-45.0× 25%= -11.3 points
Exact point calculation

-45.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -11.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Food share of consumption expenditure, two-or-more-person households: 28.30 percent

Estimated food loss: 4.64 million tonnes/year

Return / Multiplication 15%
+40.0× 15%= +6.0 points
Exact point calculation

40.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 6.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Average for two-or-more-person households. It is an expenditure-burden signal, not a direct national measure of food deprivation.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+32.8 Published category score+32.8 Contribution to national evidence score+3.0
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 18.75 + 19.25 + -11.25 + 6.00 = 32.75

Base: 32.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +32.8 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 32.75 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 3.02 points

This category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +3.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +20.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — food-nourishment-free-food domestic evidence retained

Average for two-or-more-person households. It is an expenditure-burden signal, not a direct national measure of food deprivation.

2026-10-10 Statistics Bureau of Japan

Published indicators

Calorie-based food self-sufficiency37.00 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Intake-energy food self-sufficiency45.00 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Food share of consumption expenditure, two-or-more-person households28.30 percent

Statistics Bureau of Japan · 2024

Source
Estimated food loss4.64 million tonnes/year

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2023

Source
6% weight Water & Sanitation Abundance
+63.2↓

Score breakdown

Water & Sanitation Abundance

+63.2
Capacity 25%
+95.0× 25%= +23.8 points
Exact point calculation

95.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 23.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

OECD states that nearly 99% of the population has access to safe water; 99 is retained as an approximate published value, not false precision.

Reach 35%
+94.0× 35%= +32.9 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Water / Energy 0.25/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

Water and energy share one combined four-point gate; the direct audit must show which part reaches families without payment.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

94.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 32.90 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Population with access to safe water: 99.00 percent

Wastewater-treatment population coverage: 94.00 percent

Wastewater-treatment coverage in municipalities below 50,000 population: 85.10 percent

Friction / Loss 25%
-10.0× 25%= -2.5 points
Exact point calculation

-10.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -2.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Population without access to wastewater-treatment facilities: 7.40 million people

Return / Regeneration 15%
+60.0× 15%= +9.0 points
Exact point calculation

60.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 9.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

OECD states that nearly 99% of the population has access to safe water; 99 is retained as an approximate published value, not false precision.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+63.2 Published category score+63.2 Contribution to national evidence score+3.9
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 23.75 + 32.90 + -2.50 + 9.00 = 63.15

Base: 63.15 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +63.2 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 63.15 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 3.89 points

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +3.9 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +1.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — water-sanitation domestic evidence retained

OECD states that nearly 99% of the population has access to safe water; 99 is retained as an approximate published value, not false precision.

2026-10-10 OECD

Published indicators

Population with access to safe water99.00 percent

OECD · 2023

Source
Wastewater-treatment population coverage94.00 percent

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
Wastewater-treatment coverage in municipalities below 50,000 population85.10 percent

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
Population without access to wastewater-treatment facilities7.40 million people

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2025

Source
5% weight Energy & Household Capability
+40.0↓

Score breakdown

Energy & Household Capability

+40.0
Capacity 25%
+80.0× 25%= +20.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 20.00 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

IEA-basis self-sufficiency rate; METI notes it remains low despite improving from post-2011 lows.

Reach 35%
+90.0× 35%= +31.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Water / Energy 0.25/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

Water and energy share one combined four-point gate; the direct audit must show which part reaches families without payment.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

90.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 31.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

IEA-basis self-sufficiency rate; METI notes it remains low despite improving from post-2011 lows.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction 25%
-70.0× 25%= -17.5 points
Exact point calculation

-70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Energy self-sufficiency rate: 15.30 percent

Thermal share of electricity generation: 68.60 percent

Energy-related CO2 emissions: 0.92 gigatonnes CO2

Return / Burden Removed 15%
+40.0× 15%= +6.0 points
Exact point calculation

40.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 6.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Renewable share of electricity generation: 22.90 percent

Weighted rail subtotal+40.0 Published category score+40.0 Contribution to national evidence score+2.1
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 20.00 + 31.50 + -17.50 + 6.00 = 40.00

Base: 40.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +40.0 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 40.00 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.05 points

This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: -10.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — energy-household-capability domestic evidence retained

IEA-basis self-sufficiency rate; METI notes it remains low despite improving from post-2011 lows.

2026-10-10 Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry

Published indicators

Energy self-sufficiency rate15.30 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Renewable share of electricity generation22.90 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Thermal share of electricity generation68.60 percent

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
Energy-related CO2 emissions0.92 gigatonnes CO2

Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry · 2023

Source
7% weight Health & Care Reach
+66.5↓

Score breakdown

Health & Care Reach

+66.5
Capacity 25%
+95.0× 25%= +23.8 points
Exact point calculation

95.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 23.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

OECD reports all of the population covered for a core set of services.

Reach 35%
+95.0× 35%= +33.3 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Healthcare 1.50/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

95.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 33.25 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Population covered for core health services: 100.00 percent

Satisfied with availability of quality healthcare: 80.00 percent

Friction 25%
-10.0× 25%= -2.5 points
Exact point calculation

-10.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -2.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Health spending covered by mandatory prepayment: 85.00 percent

Return / Prevention 15%
+80.0× 15%= +12.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 12.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Life expectancy: 84.10 years

Weighted rail subtotal+66.5 Published category score+66.5 Contribution to national evidence score+4.8
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 23.75 + 33.25 + -2.50 + 12.00 = 66.50

Base: 66.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +66.5 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 66.50 × (7.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 4.78 points

This category carries 7% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 7.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +4.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: 0.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — health-care-reach domestic evidence retained

OECD reports all of the population covered for a core set of services.

2026-10-10 OECD

Published indicators

Population covered for core health services100.00 percent

OECD

Source
Health spending covered by mandatory prepayment85.00 percent

OECD

Source
Life expectancy84.10 years

OECD

Source
Satisfied with availability of quality healthcare80.00 percent

OECD

Source
6% weight Education & Human Capability
+59.0↓

Score breakdown

Education & Human Capability

+59.0
Capacity 25%
+95.0× 25%= +23.8 points
Exact point calculation

95.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 23.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

National PISA sample of 15-year-old students; Level 2 is the OECD baseline proficiency threshold.

Reach 35%
+90.0× 35%= +31.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

90.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 31.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

National PISA sample of 15-year-old students; Level 2 is the OECD baseline proficiency threshold.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction 25%
-30.0× 25%= -7.5 points
Exact point calculation

-30.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -7.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Elementary and junior-high students classified as nonattending: 353,970.00 students

Return / Capability 15%
+75.0× 15%= +11.3 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 11.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

National PISA sample of 15-year-old students; Level 2 is the OECD baseline proficiency threshold.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+59.0 Published category score+59.0 Contribution to national evidence score+3.6
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 23.75 + 31.50 + -7.50 + 11.25 = 59.00

Base: 59.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +59.0 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 59.00 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 3.63 points

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +3.6 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +5.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — education-human-capability domestic evidence retained

National PISA sample of 15-year-old students; Level 2 is the OECD baseline proficiency threshold.

2026-10-10 OECD

Published indicators

Students at PISA Level 2+ in mathematics88.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Students at PISA Level 2+ in reading86.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Students at PISA Level 2+ in science92.00 percent

OECD · 2022

Source
Elementary and junior-high students classified as nonattending353,970.00 students

Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology · 2024

Source
4% weight Mobility & Reachability
+62.3↓

Score breakdown

Mobility & Reachability

+62.3
Capacity 25%
+95.0× 25%= +23.8 points
Exact point calculation

95.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 23.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

A one-month national transport-capacity snapshot, not an annual total. Passenger-kilometres were 37.492 billion in the same month.

Reach 35%
+90.0× 35%= +31.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Transportation 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

  1. -100No functioning ordinary transport service established
  2. -75Some transportation exists but practical access is severely limited
  3. -50Basic usable transportation infrastructure exists
  4. -25A functioning national or broadly connected public transport network exists
  5. 0More than 50% of residents are effectively served
  6. +25More than 75% effectively served OR more than 30% receive dependable free travel
  7. +50More than 75% effectively served AND more than 30% receive dependable free travel
  8. +75More than 90% effectively served, at least 75% travel free, and service is reliable
  9. +100Ordinary essential travel is universally accessible, reliable and free of payment
Exact point calculation

90.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 31.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

A one-month national transport-capacity snapshot, not an annual total. Passenger-kilometres were 37.492 billion in the same month.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction 25%
-20.0× 25%= -5.0 points
Exact point calculation

-20.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -5.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Road traffic deaths: 2,547.00 people

Return / Time 15%
+80.0× 15%= +12.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 12.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

A one-month national transport-capacity snapshot, not an annual total. Passenger-kilometres were 37.492 billion in the same month.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+62.3 Published category score+62.3 Contribution to national evidence score+2.6
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 23.75 + 31.50 + -5.00 + 12.00 = 62.25

Base: 62.25 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +62.3 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 62.25 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.55 points

This category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.6 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +5.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — mobility-reachability domestic evidence retained

A one-month national transport-capacity snapshot, not an annual total. Passenger-kilometres were 37.492 billion in the same month.

2026-10-10 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

Published indicators

Rail and tram passenger journeys, one-month snapshot2,055.62 million passenger journeys

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2026

Source
Shinkansen passenger journeys, one-month snapshot38.20 million passenger journeys

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism · 2026

Source
Road traffic deaths2,547.00 people

National Police Agency · 2025

Source
8% weight Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+22.0↓

Score breakdown

Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability

+22.0
Capacity 25%
+80.0× 25%= +20.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 20.00 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Final 2025 birth count; lowest since the comparable series began. The final release notes that fertility rates will be recalculated when 2025 Census denominators are available.

Reach 35%
+75.0× 35%= +26.3 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

75.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 26.25 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Final 2025 birth count; lowest since the comparable series began. The final release notes that fertility rates will be recalculated when 2025 Census denominators are available.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction 25%
-55.0× 25%= -13.8 points
Exact point calculation

-55.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -13.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Children on childcare waiting lists: 2,254.00 children

Return / Continuity 15%
-70.0× 15%= -10.5 points
Exact point calculation

-70.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -10.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Total fertility rate: 1.14 children per woman

Weighted rail subtotal+22.0 Published category score+22.0 Contribution to national evidence score+1.8
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 20.00 + 26.25 + -13.75 + -10.50 = 22.00

Base: 22.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +22.0 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 22.00 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 1.81 points

This category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Family Formation — two-part calculation and marriage-law criterion

First half — the established family and fertility assessment

The original family score remains available. It combines 60% conditions for family life with 40% observed total fertility performance. Its source research is preserved.

Pre-policy score: +22.0

Second half — binary marriage-law policy criterion

This is a Trott Bailey Family policy preference, not an estimate of births lost. Recognition: −50 points. Reviewed non-recognition: 0 deduction. An unreviewed status stays pending and causes no deduction.

Country legal status: Not recognized in reviewed legal-status evidence

Deduction calculation: 50 × 0 = 0 points

Final category calculation: +22.0 − 0 = +22.0 (clamped to −100..+100, before any independent material-transfer deductions)

Japan: no generally available nationwide domestic same-sex civil marriage is recorded in the cited legal-status review as of 2026-10-09. Some municipalities offer partnership certificates, but that is not a nationwide civil marriage; current court challenges and recognition debates must be checked at re-audit. This is a legal-classification reading only; it does not prove demographic causation.

Legal-status source: Pew Research Center · 2026-10-09 (access date) · Reviewed: 2026-10-09

Fertility and family policy: research and source notes

Trott Bailey Family target and observed fertility The 5.0-children-per-woman target is an authored civilization benchmark; approximately 2.1 children per woman is the usual long-run replacement benchmark. The existing Family Formation method blends 60% lived family conditions and 40% measured fertility performance.

How policy is evaluated Assess housing, care, parental time, material security, access to family formation, and actual demographic outcomes. A government statement or law is not proof that national births increased or declined. Establish its effects with dated comparative evidence before assigning points.

How the two kinds of evidence differ The binary legal-status deduction is an authored TBF policy assessment, not a statistic of observed births. Carroll and Schumm argue that marriage-law changes can weaken procreative norms, while other empirical studies find no negative effect on different-sex family formation. This disagreement is disclosed rather than presented as scientific consensus.

Independent research OECD fertility trends (2024) · UN population projections (2024) · Peer-reviewed family-formation study (2015) · Carroll & Schumm — The Fall of Fertility (2016/2017) · Public Discourse (2015).

Trott Bailey Family thinking Courtship, Marriage & Married Life · Official Core World View · No Shrugging at Family Suffering.

Abundance Gap: +5.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — family-formation-stability domestic evidence retained

Final 2025 birth count; lowest since the comparable series began. The final release notes that fertility rates will be recalculated when 2025 Census denominators are available.

2026-10-10 Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

Published indicators

Births671,236.00 births

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
Total fertility rate1.14 children per woman

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
Childcare-service capacity3.03 million places

Children and Families Agency · 2025

Source
Children on childcare waiting lists2,254.00 children

Children and Families Agency · 2025

Source
5% weight Land Access & Spatial Freedom
+15.8↓

Score breakdown

Land Access & Spatial Freedom

+15.8
Capacity 25%
+65.0× 25%= +16.3 points
Exact point calculation

65.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 16.25 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

National paddy and upland cultivated area; down 33,000 hectares (0.8%) from the previous year.

Reach 35%
+30.0× 35%= +10.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

Linked direct Money Gate: Housing / Land 0.25/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

30.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 10.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Average operated farmland per agricultural management entity: 3.60 hectares

Friction / Concentration 25%
-65.0× 25%= -16.3 points
Exact point calculation

-65.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -16.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Ordinary farmland sale/lease generally requires public-law approval: Agricultural committee permission or an approved farmland-intermediary plan is generally required; an unauthorized Farm Act Article 3 transfer is invalid.

Return / Productive Ground 15%
+35.0× 15%= +5.3 points
Exact point calculation

35.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 5.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

National paddy and upland cultivated area; down 33,000 hectares (0.8%) from the previous year.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+15.8 Published category score+15.8 Contribution to national evidence score+0.8
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 16.25 + 10.50 + -16.25 + 5.25 = 15.75

Base: 15.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +15.8 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 15.75 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 0.81 points

This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +35.0

What the evidence found

Published indicators

Cultivated land area4.24 million hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Average operated farmland per agricultural management entity3.60 hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Ordinary farmland sale/lease generally requires public-law approvalAgricultural committee permission or an approved farmland-intermediary plan is generally required; an unauthorized Farm Act Article 3 transfer is invalid.

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2026

Source
6% weight Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+46.0↓

Score breakdown

Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight

+46.0
Capacity 25%
+80.0× 25%= +20.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 20.00 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Provisional count. MHLW said that if finalized at this level it would be the first year below 20,000 and the lowest since 1978.

Reach 35%
+70.0× 35%= +24.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

70.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 24.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Average life satisfaction: 6.10 0-10 scale

People who feel safe walking alone at night: 77.00 percent

Friction 25%
-30.0× 25%= -7.5 points
Exact point calculation

-30.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -7.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Suicides, provisional annual count: 19,097.00 people

Return / Delight 15%
+60.0× 15%= +9.0 points
Exact point calculation

60.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 9.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

National parks: 35.00 parks

Weighted rail subtotal+46.0 Published category score+46.0 Contribution to national evidence score+2.8
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 20.00 + 24.50 + -7.50 + 9.00 = 46.00

Base: 46.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +46.0 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 46.00 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.83 points

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +10.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — peace-beauty-delight domestic evidence retained

Provisional count. MHLW said that if finalized at this level it would be the first year below 20,000 and the lowest since 1978.

2026-10-10 Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

Published indicators

Average life satisfaction6.10 0-10 scale

OECD Better Life Index

Source
People who feel safe walking alone at night77.00 percent

OECD Better Life Index

Source
National parks35.00 parks

Ministry of the Environment · 2025

Source
Suicides, provisional annual count19,097.00 people

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare · 2025

Source
6% weight Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
+33.5↓

Score breakdown

Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience

+33.5
Capacity 25%
+75.0× 25%= +18.8 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 18.75 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Qualitative national review retained as a limitation on interpreting protected-area and forest-cover quantities as complete ecological health.

Reach / Ecological Function 35%
+60.0× 35%= +21.0 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

60.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 21.00 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Forest and wildland share of total land area: 66.30 percent

Protected areas plus OECMs — terrestrial and inland water: 21.00 percent

Protected areas plus OECMs — marine and coastal: 13.30 percent

Friction / Loss 25%
-55.0× 25%= -13.8 points
Exact point calculation

-55.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -13.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

OECD ecosystem condition finding: Agricultural and marine ecosystems remain under pressure despite stabilization in forest, freshwater and urban ecosystem degradation.

Return / Regeneration 15%
+50.0× 15%= +7.5 points
Exact point calculation

50.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 7.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Qualitative national review retained as a limitation on interpreting protected-area and forest-cover quantities as complete ecological health.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+33.5 Published category score+33.5 Contribution to national evidence score+2.1
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 18.75 + 21.00 + -13.75 + 7.50 = 33.50

Base: 33.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +33.5 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 33.50 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.06 points

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +15.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — living-ground-resilience domestic evidence retained

Qualitative national review retained as a limitation on interpreting protected-area and forest-cover quantities as complete ecological health.

2026-10-10 OECD

Published indicators

Forest and wildland area24.75 million hectares

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Forest and wildland share of total land area66.30 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Protected areas plus OECMs — terrestrial and inland water21.00 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2026

Source
Protected areas plus OECMs — marine and coastal13.30 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2026

Source
OECD ecosystem condition findingAgricultural and marine ecosystems remain under pressure despite stabilization in forest, freshwater and urban ecosystem degradation.

OECD · 2025

Source
5% weight Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction
+61.5↓

Score breakdown

Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction

+61.5
Capacity 25%
+90.0× 25%= +22.5 points
Exact point calculation

90.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 22.50 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

External comparative index; used as one institutional-capacity signal, not treated as official Japanese government data.

Reach 35%
+90.0× 35%= +31.5 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

90.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 31.50 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score

Correctional institution occupancy rate: 49.90 percent

Friction 25%
-15.0× 25%= -3.8 points
Exact point calculation

-15.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Homicide rate: 0.20 per 100,000

Return / Reliability 15%
+75.0× 15%= +11.3 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 11.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

External comparative index; used as one institutional-capacity signal, not treated as official Japanese government data.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Weighted rail subtotal+61.5 Published category score+61.5 Contribution to national evidence score+3.2
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 22.50 + 31.50 + -3.75 + 11.25 = 61.50

Base: 61.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +61.5 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 61.50 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 3.15 points

This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +3.2 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: 0.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — justice-safety-friction domestic evidence retained

External comparative index; used as one institutional-capacity signal, not treated as official Japanese government data.

2026-10-10 World Justice Project

Published indicators

World Justice Project Rule of Law Index global rank15.00 rank

World Justice Project · 2025

Source
Homicide rate0.20 per 100,000

OECD Better Life Index

Source
Correctional institution occupancy rate49.90 percent

Ministry of Justice · 2024

Source
4% weight Durability, Repair & Material Return
+51.5↓

Score breakdown

Durability, Repair & Material Return

+51.5
Capacity 25%
+85.0× 25%= +21.3 points
Exact point calculation

85.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 21.25 weighted points

Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.

Why this score

Excludes disaster-waste disposal subsidized by the national government under the series methodology.

Reach 35%
+80.0× 35%= +28.0 points
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate

This score uses an earlier continuous Reach assessment. It remains in the published historical record until this country receives a sourced Reach-ladder re-audit. It has not been rounded or silently re-ranked.

Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings stay unchanged until re-reviewed.

The transportation thresholds are defined first. This category follows the same 25-point scale, but needs its own domain-specific coverage and free-access evidence before a revised Reach value is published.

Exact point calculation

80.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 28.00 weighted points

Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.

Why this score
Shared category evidence

Excludes disaster-waste disposal subsidized by the national government under the series methodology.

This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.

Friction / Waste 25%
-30.0× 25%= -7.5 points
Exact point calculation

-30.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -7.50 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Municipal solid waste generated: 38.11 million tonnes/year

Municipal waste generated per person per day: 839.00 grams/person/day

Municipal waste sent to landfill: 3.06 million tonnes/year

Return / Circularity 15%
+65.0× 15%= +9.8 points
Exact point calculation

65.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 9.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Municipal waste recycling rate: 19.30 percent

Waste incineration plants with power generation: 415.00 plants

Weighted rail subtotal+51.5 Published category score+51.5 Contribution to national evidence score+2.1
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 21.25 + 28.00 + -7.50 + 9.75 = 51.50

Base: 51.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +51.5 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 51.50 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 2.11 points

This category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

Abundance Gap: +5.0

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — durability-material-return domestic evidence retained

Excludes disaster-waste disposal subsidized by the national government under the series methodology.

2026-10-10 Ministry of the Environment

Published indicators

Municipal solid waste generated38.11 million tonnes/year

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste generated per person per day839.00 grams/person/day

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste recycling rate19.30 percent

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Municipal waste sent to landfill3.06 million tonnes/year

Ministry of the Environment · 2024

Source
Waste incineration plants with power generation415.00 plants

Ministry of the Environment · 2025

Source
6% weight International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
+27.8↓

International score breakdown

International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome

+27.8
Entry Accessibility 25%
+80.0× 25%= +20.0 points
Exact point calculation

80.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 20.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Japan lists short-stay visa exemptions for 74 countries and regions subject to conditions.

Japan maintains visa exemptions for 74 countries and regions for short stays, with nationality-specific conditions and durations. This is meaningful entry capacity but is not treated as evidence that ordinary migration, family settlement or long-term belonging is equally open.

Migrant Practical Life 30%
+40.0× 30%= +12.0 points
Exact point calculation

40.00 × (30.00 ÷ 100) = 12.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Over 4.1 million foreign residents at end-2025 demonstrate genuine residence pathways but not free movement.

Japan recorded 4,125,395 foreign residents at end-2025, up 9.5% and above four million for the first time. The same year recorded 42,430,930 foreign entrants. These figures show substantial international movement and residence but do not measure the lived ease of regularisation, family unity or long-term status.

Refugee / Neighbour Welcome 25%
-45.0× 25%= -11.3 points
Exact point calculation

-45.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -11.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Refugee recognition in 2025 was far smaller than applications; complementary and humanitarian permits must be counted separately.

In 2025 Japan received 11,298 refugee-recognition applications. It recognized 187 people as refugees, 474 as complementary-protection beneficiaries and allowed 525 more to stay for humanitarian reasons, for 1,186 people allowed to remain through these protection/humanitarian routes.

Flexibility / Continuity 20%
+35.0× 20%= +7.0 points
Exact point calculation

35.00 × (20.00 ÷ 100) = 7.00 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Naturalisation permissions demonstrate a path to citizenship without proving universal accessible settlement.

The Ministry of Justice recorded 9,258 naturalisation permissions in 2025. Naturalisation is one route to membership and is retained alongside, rather than substituted for, permanent residence, protection and ordinary migration evidence.

Weighted rail subtotal+27.8 Published category score+27.8 Contribution to national evidence score+1.4
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 20.00 + 12.00 + -11.25 + 7.00 = 27.75

Base: 27.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +27.8 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 27.75 × (6.00 × 80.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 1.37 points

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 80% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.80%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — Flexibility / Continuity (international-access-human-welcome)

Naturalisation permissions demonstrate a path to citizenship without proving universal accessible settlement.

2026-10-10 Ministry of Justice Japan
2026 full review — Japan — Refugee / Neighbour Welcome (international-access-human-welcome)

Refugee recognition in 2025 was far smaller than applications; complementary and humanitarian permits must be counted separately.

2026-10-10 Immigration Services Agency Japan
2026 full review — Japan — Migrant Practical Life (international-access-human-welcome)

Over 4.1 million foreign residents at end-2025 demonstrate genuine residence pathways but not free movement.

2026-10-10 Immigration Services Agency Japan
2026 full review — Japan — Entry Accessibility (international-access-human-welcome)

Japan lists short-stay visa exemptions for 74 countries and regions subject to conditions.

2026-10-10 MOFA Japan
Naturalisation is a documented route but does not summarize belonging

The Ministry of Justice recorded 9,258 naturalisation permissions in 2025. Naturalisation is one route to membership and is retained alongside, rather than substituted for, permanent residence, protection and ordinary migration evidence.

Ministry of Justice
Protection pathways produced multiple distinct outcomes in 2025

In 2025 Japan received 11,298 refugee-recognition applications. It recognized 187 people as refugees, 474 as complementary-protection beneficiaries and allowed 525 more to stay for humanitarian reasons, for 1,186 people allowed to remain through these protection/humanitarian routes.

Immigration Services Agency of Japan
Foreign-resident population exceeded four million in 2025

Japan recorded 4,125,395 foreign residents at end-2025, up 9.5% and above four million for the first time. The same year recorded 42,430,930 foreign entrants. These figures show substantial international movement and residence but do not measure the lived ease of regularisation, family unity or long-term status.

Immigration Services Agency of Japan
Short-stay access is broad but is not settlement access

Japan maintains visa exemptions for 74 countries and regions for short stays, with nationality-specific conditions and durations. This is meaningful entry capacity but is not treated as evidence that ordinary migration, family settlement or long-term belonging is equally open.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

Published indicators

Countries and regions under short-stay visa exemption74.00 countries/regions

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan · 2025

Source
Foreign residents4,125,395.00 people

Immigration Services Agency of Japan · 2025

Source
Foreign entrants42,430,930.00 people

Immigration Services Agency of Japan · 2025

Source
Refugee recognition applications11,298.00 applications

Immigration Services Agency of Japan · 2025

Source
People recognized as refugees187.00 people

Immigration Services Agency of Japan · 2025

Source
Naturalisation permissions9,258.00 people

Ministry of Justice · 2025

Source
6% weight External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
+8.0↓

International score breakdown

External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct

+8.0
Positive Contribution 25%
+75.0× 25%= +18.8 points
Exact point calculation

75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 18.75 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Japan provided about US$16.2 billion ODA in 2025.

OECD preliminary data put Japan’s 2025 ODA at USD 16.2 billion, equal to 0.35% of GNI. In 2024, 41.6% of ODA was grants and 58.4% loans, the highest loan share among DAC members. This records positive contribution and financing structure without assuming every programme has the same local benefit or burden.

Mutuality / Local Benefit 25%
+25.0× 25%= +6.3 points
Exact point calculation

25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

2024 ODA was 58.4% loans, so financing terms and recipient benefit matter.

Japan imported JPY 9.8431 trillion of agricultural products in 2025. The six largest supplier countries accounted for about 60% of imports, and 99.8% of wheat imports came from Canada, the United States and Australia. This establishes physical external dependence; it does not establish environmental or labour harm in supplier countries without separate attributable evidence.

Documented Harm / Extraction 35%
-55.0× 35%= -19.3 points
Exact point calculation

-55.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -19.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

Demand-based emissions exceed territorial emissions, showing outsourced embedded emissions.

OECD reports that Japan’s demand-based greenhouse-gas emissions are higher than its production-based emissions, meaning Japan is a net importer of emissions embodied in final demand. This is attributable footprint evidence, but it does not identify which individual overseas projects or suppliers should be assigned causal responsibility.

Accountability / Repair 15%
+15.0× 15%= +2.3 points
Exact point calculation

15.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 2.25 weighted points

Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.

Why this score

ODA reporting exists; net environmental and project-level repair remain incompletely demonstrated.

Weighted rail subtotal+8.0 Published category score+8.0 Contribution to national evidence score+0.4
Show the full category score calculation

Weighted rails: 18.75 + 6.25 + -19.25 + 2.25 = 8.00

Base: 8.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +8.0 (clamped to −100..+100)

Contribution to national evidence: 8.00 × (6.00 × 78.00%) ÷ 97.48 = 0.38 points

Cross-border waste and low-utility goods deductions

A country sending harmful material abroad and a country allowing it onto its land are assessed separately. Beneficial second-hand reuse is not automatically dumping. A pending audit is not a zero-harm finding.

Exported waste / garbageTrade category reviewed · harm unverified

Japan — 2024 export of plastic waste and scrap. Japan exported 683,123,000 kg of plastic scrap in 2024 while importing 7,635,310 kg; outbound material handling in receiving nations needs independent verification. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.

2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗

World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection

Exported low-utility goods / disguised dumpingTrade category reviewed · harm unverified

Japan — 2024 export of worn clothing and other worn articles. Japan exported worn clothing in 2024 under HS630900; the trade value US$103.90m alone does not establish dumping. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.

2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗

World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection

Accepted imported garbageTrade category reviewed · harm unverified

Japan — 2024 import of plastic waste and scrap. Japan exported 683,123,000 kg of plastic scrap in 2024 while importing 7,635,310 kg; outbound material handling in receiving nations needs independent verification. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.

2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗

World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection

Accepted low-utility dumpingTrade category reviewed · harm unverified

Japan — 2024 import of worn clothing and other worn articles. Japan exported worn clothing in 2024 under HS630900; the trade value US$103.90m alone does not establish dumping. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.

2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗

World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection

2024 trade flows have been checked and linked above. Their harmful impact has not yet been independently verified; therefore no new deduction is assigned. Additional recipient-site evidence is required to close a harm audit.

This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 78% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.68%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.

What the evidence found

2026 full review — Japan — Accountability / Repair (external-footprint-non-extractive)

ODA reporting exists; net environmental and project-level repair remain incompletely demonstrated.

2026-10-10 OECD DAC
2026 full review — Japan — Documented Harm / Extraction (external-footprint-non-extractive)

Demand-based emissions exceed territorial emissions, showing outsourced embedded emissions.

2026-10-10 OECD Environment
2026 full review — Japan — Mutuality / Local Benefit (external-footprint-non-extractive)

2024 ODA was 58.4% loans, so financing terms and recipient benefit matter.

2026-10-10 OECD DAC
2026 full review — Japan — Positive Contribution (external-footprint-non-extractive)

Japan provided about US$16.2 billion ODA in 2025.

2026-10-10 OECD DAC
Food-system import dependence is large and concentrated

Japan imported JPY 9.8431 trillion of agricultural products in 2025. The six largest supplier countries accounted for about 60% of imports, and 99.8% of wheat imports came from Canada, the United States and Australia. This establishes physical external dependence; it does not establish environmental or labour harm in supplier countries without separate attributable evidence.

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
Japan remained a major development-cooperation provider in 2025

OECD preliminary data put Japan’s 2025 ODA at USD 16.2 billion, equal to 0.35% of GNI. In 2024, 41.6% of ODA was grants and 58.4% loans, the highest loan share among DAC members. This records positive contribution and financing structure without assuming every programme has the same local benefit or burden.

OECD
Japan is a net importer of embodied greenhouse-gas emissions

OECD reports that Japan’s demand-based greenhouse-gas emissions are higher than its production-based emissions, meaning Japan is a net importer of emissions embodied in final demand. This is attributable footprint evidence, but it does not identify which individual overseas projects or suppliers should be assigned causal responsibility.

OECD

Published indicators

Demand-based versus production-based GHGDemand-based GHG emissions are higher than production-based emissions; OECD therefore describes Japan as a net importer of GHG emissions embodied in final demand.

OECD · 2025

Source
Official development assistance16.20 USD billions

OECD · 2025

Source
ODA as share of GNI0.35 percent

OECD · 2025

Source
ODA provided as loans58.40 percent

OECD · 2024

Source
Agricultural imports9.84 trillion yen

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source
Wheat imports sourced from Canada, United States and Australia99.80 percent

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries · 2025

Source

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can use all sixteen weighted categories: fourteen domestic plus International Welcome (6%) and External Footprint (6%), when each international category has four verified rail scores and dated source evidence. Unreviewed international rails remain pending, not zero. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.