Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile
Nigeria 🇳🇬
Nigeria currently ranks #216 of 243 on the World Wealthiest Country Abundance Scorecard, scoring -78.63. This country is money-gated (1.00/20: essential access still faces payment or service barriers), strongest in Welcome and weakest in Water across 16 evidence categories.
Ranked by the Trott Bailey Family — the world’s wealthiest family in Abundance. Wealth means access to life and the ability to live it, not GDP or money.
Country profile & diagnostic reading
Data updatedEvidence through 17 Oct 2026How the headline score is calculated
Every category retains four original evidence beleshkies. The existing category adjustments are allocated among those beleshkies, within their scoring limits. Each adjusted beleshky receives the national Money Gate conversion, and four weighted gated contributions form its category result. The category results then form the national headline score, with historic two-decimal evidence rounding retained. Friction is not deducted twice.
Current evidence: -18.6 · Money Gate: 1.00/20 · Headline: -78.6.
The fully detailed gate formula is explained in the Money Gate method; no international score can independently clear it.
TBF Rank TBF Rank Rank compares only published profiles. It follows the TBF Abundance Score, not GDP or money size, and can move when a country score changes or when another country enters the published table. Read Small Island Abundance Theory Challenge a score or supply new evidenceHeads of state, authorized representatives and evidence holders may submit documentation and request recalculation. A review never silently overwrites the previous rank or scoring record.Appeal Nigeria's score or request recalculation →
Global standing based on life reachability
243 ranked · 0 published awaiting scores · 0 awaiting research · 243 directory entries
NigeriaLast recorded move: down from #215 to #216.Recent recorded movements
- #215 → #21621 Oct 2026 · 07:24 GMT-0500
- #214 → #21521 Oct 2026 · 05:21 GMT-0500
- #202 → #21420 Oct 2026 · 19:52 GMT-0500
- #202 → #20620 Oct 2026 · 19:52 GMT-0500
Rank journey · newest first
Dated changes with readable spacing · diagonal lines show rank movement · horizontal lines show held positions · scroll left for earlier dates.
Research Coverage Research coverage Coverage reports the weighted share of categories with documented scoring and supporting source records. 100% means all category scoring slots have been assessed; it does not guarantee that every claim has been independently measured or that every family has no-payment access. Read the source and evidence limitations for each point. Explore Trott Bailey Kingdom Systems
Coverage calculation
Sum of each published category weight × its documented scoring coverage ÷ 100. The percentage measures completed scoring slots, not independent verification of every claim. For the current country:
9.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 9.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 7.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% = 100.00% weighted coverage
Completion coverage is not evidence certainty. Every evaluated rail may use directly observed evidence, relevant proxies, or transparently labeled extrapolation. A score is not a measured population percentage merely because its source is verified.
Unreviewed international categories do not receive fabricated coverage or zero scores.
64 / 64 rails scored · 16 / 16 categories assessed (100% scoring completion). Nigeria's latest four-rail findings identify primary and secondary sources and explicitly label the scored inference. 100% means every scoring decision is complete, not that all free-access population rates were directly measured. Heads of state may appeal or submit evidence for recalculation.
14 / 14 domestic categories scored · 2 / 2 international categories scored
GDP and money rank GDP and money rank GDP and money rank are context only. They track monetized production, not how freely people access life, and contribute zero points to TBF Abundance. Read Make the World Truly Productive Again
GDP and money are context, not the World Wealthiest Country Abundance ranking
Money Gate · Overall Gate 0.7.0
Five basics stand between this country and zero The zero-line rule All five basics must reach 4/4 before a country can cross zero. Open any gate reading to see exactly why its points were assigned and review the source record. Reach-to-Money-Gate Clearance 2.0 These five gates measure effective no-payment access, not installed capacity alone. Under new source-backed reviews, 0, 0.5, 1, 2, 3 and 4 points track verified free access to 0%, some but less than 30%, 30%+, 50%+, 75%+ and 100% of the population respectively. The higher levels require reliable real use; 4/4 requires universally accessible, reliable service without ordinary charges or exclusions. Missing population figures remain pending. Older gate points remain archived until re-audited.
Food Food · 4 points Full credit means nutritious food is ordinary civilization provision without a checkout or poverty test. School meals and other narrow institutional routes can earn limited partial credit without being mistaken for free food abundance. Read A Civilization Laid Out in Orchards
Why 0.3 / 4?
National Home Grown School Feeding records a one-meal targeted route for participating primary pupils, but implementation continuity and current coverage are not proven nationally.
Point calculation
0.25 ÷ 4 × 100 = 6.25% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Housing / Land Housing / Land · 4 points Full credit means families can secure a home or suitable productive ground without rent, purchase price or mortgage debt deciding whether they may remain sheltered and grounded. Read the Distributed Founding Nuclei Strategy
Why 0.0 / 4?
Housing programmes and private construction exist, but no source here verifies a nationwide entitlement to no-payment family housing or land.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Healthcare Healthcare · 4 points Full credit requires dependable no-payment care across prevention, primary care, maternity, dentistry, medicine, emergency treatment and necessary specialist care. Read Money Zombie Outbreaks
Why 0.8 / 4?
The NHIA Vulnerable Group Fund can pay premiums for indigent and vulnerable people; state schemes vary and household reach is restricted.
Point calculation
0.75 ÷ 4 × 100 = 18.75% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Transportation Transportation · 4 points Full credit means ordinary movement is free across the routes people actually need. A free Sunday, one route or a temporary promotion earns only limited credit. Read The Caterport: Free Human Movement
Why 0.0 / 4?
Ordinary public transport entails fares, without a demonstrated nationwide zero-fare transport right.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Water / Energy Water / Energy · 4 points Full credit requires both safe water and essential household energy to stay available without payment deciding whether cooking, cooling, washing, pumping or food preservation stops. Read Nucleus Formation Stewards
Why 0.0 / 4?
UNICEF documents severe water-sanitation gaps and dependent local supply; the evidence does not establish free nationwide household water and electricity.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
- Food0.3 / 4
- Housing / Land0.0 / 4
- Healthcare0.8 / 4
- Transportation0.0 / 4
- Water / Energy0.0 / 4
- Money still needed19.0 / 20
Grey means points not yet earned toward fully money-free basic life—not a cash price or currency sum.
Why 1.0 / 20?
The Money Gate total is the sum of the five direct 0–4 readings. Every basic need remains visible separately so one strong area cannot hide another weak one.
Actual calculation
Food 0.25 + Housing / Land 0.00 + Healthcare 0.75 + Transportation 0.00 + Water / Energy 0.00 = 1.00 / 20
A country remains money-gated until the total reaches 20 / 20.
Why 87.5 / 100?
Friction is visible as its own 0–100 contextual reading from domestic category rails. Its effect is already in the evidence score and is not applied to the ceiling again.
Actual calculation
(100 - -75.00) ÷ 2 = 87.50 / 100
The weighted Friction rail comes from the published domestic category rails.
Why -47.5?
Each Money Gate point raises the negative ceiling by 2.5 points: 0/20 → −50, 7/20 → −32.5, 10/20 → −25, 19.5/20 → −1.25. At 20/20 the gate is removed, so the evidence score becomes the headline directly.
Actual calculation
-50 + 2.5 × 1.00 = -47.5
16-category profile
All categories at a glance
All sixteen categories use the −100 to +100 evidence scale. International Welcome and External Footprint are assessed alongside the domestic categories. Select a category to examine the scoring and evidence.
Default view shows how each category is compressed by the current Money Gate. Switch to preview the same category evidence if the gate were lifted.
Category readings & evidence
Open any category for the full diagnostic reading
9% weight
Human Time & Burden Return
What this category measures
Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.
TBFC targetNecessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life. Access-gate research questionHow much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Family Shubaka: protecting human and family time
-80.3↓Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Score breakdown
Human Time & Burden Return
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria has substantial recorded work participation, but a large informal sector and real-income pressure; working hours and family-support capacity cannot be equated with restored family time. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, the World Bank notes insufficient productive jobs and persistent poverty, limiting family time and mobility even where work exists.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 2: -25/100. Recorded employment does not establish that families have protected shared contribution time, adequate caregiving services or freely accessible childcare; reach is inferred as incomplete. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 3: -75/100. Nigeria continues to face food and living costs and labour pressure; paid employment plus household care work create considerable friction rather than an observed nationwide family-time release. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The NBS Nigeria Labour Force Survey Q1 2024 questionnaire specifically records main and secondary jobs, working time, and income. Q1 2024 informality was 92.7%; this does not prove the share of people taking a second job to buy essentials.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 4: -25/100. Children and parents show informal learning and support capacity, but nationwide proof that Shubaka-like family contribution restores time and improves wellbeing was not located. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -25.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -25.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -80.3.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -25.00
Base: -25.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -25.00 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -2.25 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -2.3 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 4: -25/100. Children and parents show informal learning and support capacity, but nationwide proof that Shubaka-like family contribution restores time and improves wellbeing was not located. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025 · Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 3: -75/100. Nigeria continues to face food and living costs and labour pressure; paid employment plus household care work create considerable friction rather than an observed nationwide family-time release. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026 · Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report ReutersNigeria, methodology 01, rail 2: -25/100. Recorded employment does not establish that families have protected shared contribution time, adequate caregiving services or freely accessible childcare; reach is inferred as incomplete. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024 · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 01, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria has substantial recorded work participation, but a large informal sector and real-income pressure; working hours and family-support capacity cannot be equated with restored family time. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 01 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics Labour Force Survey Q2 2024 · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyFor Nigeria, the World Bank notes insufficient productive jobs and persistent poverty, limiting family time and mobility even where work exists.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewThe NBS Nigeria Labour Force Survey Q1 2024 questionnaire specifically records main and secondary jobs, working time, and income. Q1 2024 informality was 92.7%; this does not prove the share of people taking a second job to buy essentials.
2024-03-31 Nigeria National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
8% weight
Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach
What this category measures
Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.
TBFC targetAdequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay. Access-gate research questionWhat share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Mother-Sight compound home
-80.3↓Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Score breakdown
Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 1: +25/100. Housing capital spending and private construction show functioning capacity, but cannot certify a prepared home available to every couple. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026 Nigeria review — severe poverty constrains nonpayment shelter for many households; no specific no-fee housing programme documented in this source.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Housing / Land 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 2: -25/100. Housing investment and widespread child multidimensional poverty coexist; no nationally measured free, secure family shelter-and-land population share is established. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 3: -75/100. High poverty, costs and inflation burden the ability to obtain and maintain shelter; TBF score is not an official rent-to-income statistic. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 4: -25/100. Settlement and housing policies provide partial continuity, yet services do not demonstrate unconditional lifelong shelter and maintenance for every family. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -25.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -25.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -80.3.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -25.00
Base: -25.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -25.00 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -2.00 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -2.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 4: -25/100. Settlement and housing policies provide partial continuity, yet services do not demonstrate unconditional lifelong shelter and maintenance for every family. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025 · World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 3: -75/100. High poverty, costs and inflation burden the ability to obtain and maintain shelter; TBF score is not an official rent-to-income statistic. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty · Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report ReutersNigeria, methodology 02, rail 2: -25/100. Housing investment and widespread child multidimensional poverty coexist; no nationally measured free, secure family shelter-and-land population share is established. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 02, rail 1: +25/100. Housing capital spending and private construction show functioning capacity, but cannot certify a prepared home available to every couple. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 02 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026 · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty2026 Nigeria review — severe poverty constrains nonpayment shelter for many households; no specific no-fee housing programme documented in this source.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewPublished indicators
National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
9% weight
Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
What this category measures
Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.
TBFC targetNutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend. Access-gate research questionCan people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Complete Reordering of Earth’s Food System
-77.9↓Money-gated · Evidence -15.8
Money-gated · Evidence -15.8
Score breakdown
Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +53.0; Money-gated reading -59.8 × 25% = -15.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has major agricultural and food-production potential while 34.7–35 million people face high acute food insecurity in 2026; physical food capacity and nourishment reach are distinct. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Food 0.25/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -22.0; Money-gated reading -79.5 × 35% = -27.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 2: -25/100. Emergency nutrition and local programmes do not demonstrate a universal, steady money-free food pathway for complete households; coverage inferred as partial. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -72.0; Money-gated reading -92.7 × 25% = -23.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 3: -75/100. Conflict, displacement, high food costs and losses make daily nourishment difficult for many; the reported 2026 crisis supports severe Friction. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -22.0; Money-gated reading -79.5 × 15% = -11.9 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 4: -25/100. Farmer support and resilience initiatives exist, but broad stable soil-return, reserves, free circulation and disaster recovery are not demonstrated nationally. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -18.8. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): +3.0. Effective evidence: -15.8. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -77.9.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -18.75
Base: -18.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +1.50 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -17.3 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -17.25 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.55 points
Nigerian agricultural publication carried the Trott Bailey Abundance Principle directly into a Nigeria food-security argument, including free food and measurement beyond GDP.
For Nigeria, this category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.6 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +117.3
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 4: -25/100. Farmer support and resilience initiatives exist, but broad stable soil-return, reserves, free circulation and disaster recovery are not demonstrated nationally. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026 · World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 3: -75/100. Conflict, displacement, high food costs and losses make daily nourishment difficult for many; the reported 2026 crisis supports severe Friction. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026 · Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report ReutersNigeria, methodology 03, rail 2: -25/100. Emergency nutrition and local programmes do not demonstrate a universal, steady money-free food pathway for complete households; coverage inferred as partial. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026 · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 03, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has major agricultural and food-production potential while 34.7–35 million people face high acute food insecurity in 2026; physical food capacity and nourishment reach are distinct. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 03 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026 · World Food Programme Nigeria country brief 2026Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankNigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankPublished indicators
FAO · 2026
SourceFAO · 2026
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian agricultural publication carried the Trott Bailey Abundance Principle directly into a Nigeria food-security argument, including free food and measurement beyond GDP.
Read original publication
6% weight
Water & Sanitation Abundance
What this category measures
Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.
TBFC targetSafe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power. Access-gate research questionCan households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Water Your Orchards With Life
-82.6↓Money-gated · Evidence -33.8
Money-gated · Evidence -33.8
Score breakdown
Water & Sanitation Abundance
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 1: +25/100. WHO/UNICEF household monitoring records functioning water and sanitation investments but large infrastructure and hygiene gaps; full safe combined capacity is absent. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygiene) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, uNICEF records widespread unmet water and sanitation access and uneven services; a no-payment utility right has not been established.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Water / Energy 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
Water and energy share one combined four-point gate; the direct audit must show which part reaches families without payment.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-50.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Original evidence -50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -50.0; Money-gated reading -86.9 × 35% = -30.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 2: -50/100. Drinking-water, sanitation and hygiene coverage are different indicators; combined household safe service and money-free access cannot be assumed from any single figure. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 3: -75/100. Unsafe water/sanitation access, collection and household service burdens remain important; this score is a proxy-based access-friction judgement. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygiene) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 4: -25/100. Investments and household practices support some treated return, but national proof of safe reuse, watershed recovery and enduring water security is incomplete. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -33.8. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -33.8. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -82.6.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -17.50 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -33.75
Base: -33.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -33.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -33.75 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -2.03 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -2.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +75.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 4: -25/100. Investments and household practices support some treated return, but national proof of safe reuse, watershed recovery and enduring water security is incomplete. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 3: -75/100. Unsafe water/sanitation access, collection and household service burdens remain important; this score is a proxy-based access-friction judgement. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygiene) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygiene · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 04, rail 2: -50/100. Drinking-water, sanitation and hygiene coverage are different indicators; combined household safe service and money-free access cannot be assumed from any single figure. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report · UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household surveyNigeria, methodology 04, rail 1: +25/100. WHO/UNICEF household monitoring records functioning water and sanitation investments but large infrastructure and hygiene gaps; full safe combined capacity is absent. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygiene) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 04 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 WHO/UNICEF JMP 2025 water and sanitation household report · UNICEF Nigeria water, sanitation and hygieneFor Nigeria, uNICEF records widespread unmet water and sanitation access and uneven services; a no-payment utility right has not been established.
2026-10-11 UNICEF Nigeria WASHPublished indicators
United Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
Source
5% weight
Energy & Household Capability
What this category measures
Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.
TBFC targetEssential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off. Access-gate research questionCan households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Trott Bailey Solar Moon Panel
-81.0↓Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Score breakdown
Energy & Household Capability
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 1: +50/100. 62.5% of residents had electricity access in 2024, but clean-cooking access was only about 28%; generation/connection capacity is not a full household energy service. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The World Bank Nigeria overview notes broad service-delivery and income constraints; this source alone cannot establish stable or no-cost household power access.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Water / Energy 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
Water and energy share one combined four-point gate; the direct audit must show which part reaches families without payment.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-50.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Original evidence -50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -50.0; Money-gated reading -86.9 × 35% = -30.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 2: -50/100. The effective electricity-plus-clean-cooking intersection cannot exceed the smaller coverage figure; no verified nationwide free energy subgroup or uninterrupted full service is available. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 3: -75/100. Fuel costs, outages and low clean-cooking reach limit appliances and safe household cooking; neither a utility grid nor subsidy alone eliminates the gate. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 4: -25/100. Off-grid and grid investments can help household capability, but large clean-cooking gaps prevent a claim of universal energy-enabled family-time return. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -27.5. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -27.5. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -81.0.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -17.50 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -27.50
Base: -27.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -27.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -27.50 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.38 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +100.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 4: -25/100. Off-grid and grid investments can help household capability, but large clean-cooking gaps prevent a claim of universal energy-enabled family-time return. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024 · World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 3: -75/100. Fuel costs, outages and low clean-cooking reach limit appliances and safe household cooking; neither a utility grid nor subsidy alone eliminates the gate. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyNigeria, methodology 05, rail 2: -50/100. The effective electricity-plus-clean-cooking intersection cannot exceed the smaller coverage figure; no verified nationwide free energy subgroup or uninterrupted full service is available. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024 · World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%Nigeria, methodology 05, rail 1: +50/100. 62.5% of residents had electricity access in 2024, but clean-cooking access was only about 28%; generation/connection capacity is not a full household energy service. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 05 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria electricity reach 62.5% in 2024 · World Bank 2024 clean-cooking access Nigeria 28%The World Bank Nigeria overview notes broad service-delivery and income constraints; this source alone cannot establish stable or no-cost household power access.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
7% weight
Health & Care Reach
What this category measures
Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.
TBFC targetPrevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced. Access-gate research questionCan necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: No Shrugging Our Shoulders at Family Suffering
-81.0↓Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Score breakdown
Health & Care Reach
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has expanding maternal-care facilities, trained professionals and insurance initiatives; the NHIA says over 93,000 mothers and newborns were reached by targeted programmes by August 2026. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, nHIA describes a Vulnerable Group Fund for premium support, with state eligibility rules and uneven service reach.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Healthcare 0.75/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-50.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Original evidence -50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -50.0; Money-gated reading -86.9 × 35% = -30.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 2: -50/100. Targeted free obstetric services are meaningful but do not give a measured denominator for free medicines, dentistry, referral, chronic or emergency treatment nationally. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortality) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 3: -75/100. WHO still stresses financing reform; the UNICEF under-five mortality profile and financial hardship show substantial continuing care barriers. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortality) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 4: -25/100. Targeted treatment and financing gains support some returns; national Health Upon Health continuity, prevention and rehabilitation outcomes remain underdocumented. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -27.5. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -27.5. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -81.0.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -17.50 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -27.50
Base: -27.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -27.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -27.50 × (7.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.93 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 7% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 7.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.9 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +100.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 4: -25/100. Targeted treatment and financing gains support some returns; national Health Upon Health continuity, prevention and rehabilitation outcomes remain underdocumented. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results · WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026Nigeria, methodology 06, rail 3: -75/100. WHO still stresses financing reform; the UNICEF under-five mortality profile and financial hardship show substantial continuing care barriers. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortality) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026 · UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortalityNigeria, methodology 06, rail 2: -50/100. Targeted free obstetric services are meaningful but do not give a measured denominator for free medicines, dentistry, referral, chronic or emergency treatment nationally. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortality) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results · UNICEF Nigeria health indicators under-five mortalityNigeria, methodology 06, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has expanding maternal-care facilities, trained professionals and insurance initiatives; the NHIA says over 93,000 mothers and newborns were reached by targeted programmes by August 2026. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 06 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 National Health Insurance Authority 2026 maternal-care results · WHO Africa Nigerian health financing reform August 2026For Nigeria, nHIA describes a Vulnerable Group Fund for premium support, with state eligibility rules and uneven service reach.
2026-10-11 Nigeria National Health Insurance AuthorityPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
Source
6% weight
Education & Human Capability
What this category measures
Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.
TBFC targetFoundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income. Access-gate research questionWhich essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: What Is NoDumbDumbs?
-81.0↓Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Money-gated · Evidence -27.5
Score breakdown
Education & Human Capability
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 1: +50/100. The country has schools and learning programmes, but 2026 UNICEF financing analysis describes serious low-learning outcomes and funding constraints. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school children) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, world Bank reports new 2025 education-system financing for basic learning and underserved children, an investment commitment rather than proven universal outcome.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-50.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Original evidence -50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -50.0; Money-gated reading -86.9 × 35% = -30.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 2: -50/100. A significant share of primary-age children remain out of school and basic learning gaps remain; AGILE scholarship coverage is not universal actual learning access. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school children) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country results) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 3: -75/100. UNICEF reports large failure rates on minimum mathematics proficiency; fees, geography, teacher shortages and safety create high learning friction. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 4: -25/100. Digital learning, scholarships and expanding classrooms show useful progress but not universal measurable applied skill, lifelong learning and family apprenticeship outcomes. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country results) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -27.5. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -27.5. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -81.0.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -17.50 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -27.50
Base: -27.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -27.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -27.50 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.65 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.7 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +100.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 4: -25/100. Digital learning, scholarships and expanding classrooms show useful progress but not universal measurable applied skill, lifelong learning and family apprenticeship outcomes. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country results) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026 · World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country resultsNigeria, methodology 07, rail 3: -75/100. UNICEF reports large failure rates on minimum mathematics proficiency; fees, geography, teacher shortages and safety create high learning friction. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026 · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 07, rail 2: -50/100. A significant share of primary-age children remain out of school and basic learning gaps remain; AGILE scholarship coverage is not universal actual learning access. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school children) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country results) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school children · World Bank Nigeria AGILE programme country resultsNigeria, methodology 07, rail 1: +50/100. The country has schools and learning programmes, but 2026 UNICEF financing analysis describes serious low-learning outcomes and funding constraints. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school children) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 07 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Public Finance for Basic Education in Nigeria 2026 · UNICEF Nigeria digital learning and out-of-school childrenFor Nigeria, world Bank reports new 2025 education-system financing for basic learning and underserved children, an investment commitment rather than proven universal outcome.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria education financingPublished indicators
The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
Source
4% weight
Mobility & Reachability
What this category measures
Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.
TBFC targetOrdinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall. Access-gate research questionCan ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Caterport: Free Human Movement
-78.7↓Money-gated · Evidence -18.8
Money-gated · Evidence -18.8
Score breakdown
Mobility & Reachability
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has intercity roads, bus, air and water transportation and recorded transport-system investments; effective regular network quality varies. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Transportation 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
- -100No functioning ordinary transport service established
- -75Some transportation exists but practical access is severely limited
- -50Basic usable transportation infrastructure exists
- -25A functioning national or broadly connected public transport network exists
- 0More than 50% of residents are effectively served
- +25More than 75% effectively served OR more than 30% receive dependable free travel
- +50More than 75% effectively served AND more than 30% receive dependable free travel
- +75More than 90% effectively served, at least 75% travel free, and service is reliable
- +100Ordinary essential travel is universally accessible, reliable and free of payment
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 2: -25/100. NBS measures real household-paid fares rather than free population-wide journeys, so usable transport and money-free full-family Reach are extrapolated separately. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 3: -75/100. NBS fare tracking and 2026 fuel inflation demonstrate substantial money and timing burdens on ordinary journeys; free national transportation is not established. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 4: -25/100. Transport enables useful life but documented spending and service variation do not show a broadly returned stock of family travel time. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, nBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
For Nigeria, nBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -18.8. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -18.8. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -78.7.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -18.75
Base: -18.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -18.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -18.75 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -0.75 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -0.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +75.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 4: -25/100. Transport enables useful life but documented spending and service variation do not show a broadly returned stock of family travel time. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026 · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026Nigeria, methodology 08, rail 3: -75/100. NBS fare tracking and 2026 fuel inflation demonstrate substantial money and timing burdens on ordinary journeys; free national transportation is not established. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report Reuters) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026 · Nigeria September 2026 consumer and fuel inflation report ReutersNigeria, methodology 08, rail 2: -25/100. NBS measures real household-paid fares rather than free population-wide journeys, so usable transport and money-free full-family Reach are extrapolated separately. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026 · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyNigeria, methodology 08, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has intercity roads, bus, air and water transportation and recorded transport-system investments; effective regular network quality varies. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 08 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria National Bureau of Statistics transport fare watch 2026 · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026For Nigeria, nBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
2024-12-12 National Bureau of StatisticsFor Nigeria, nBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
2024-12-12 National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
Federal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceFederal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceFederal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
8% weight
Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
What this category measures
Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, multiply generations, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers. New and re-reviewed profiles include total fertility as an explicit outcome signal.
TBFC targetPeople should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds. Access-gate research questionHow strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target? Fertility methodNew and re-reviewed Family Formation scores blend 60% lived family conditions with 40% fertility performance. Five children per woman is the 100/100 fertility target. The 2.1 replacement floor earns +25/100 fertility performance; below replacement declines proportionally, while rates above 2.1 rise progressively toward +100 at 5.0. Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Courtship, Marriage & Married Life
-80.3↓Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Score breakdown
Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 1: +25/100. Family networks and children’s services exist, but UNICEF records two-thirds of children in multidimensional poverty; this does not prove comprehensive family support. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 2: -25/100. Birth registration, child health, education and protection are distinct; Nigeria has no verified universal new-marriage land/home/care entitlement for couples. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 3: -75/100. Child poverty, early marriage and child safety problems show severe burdens on stable family flourishing; score is value-based and not a presumed cause of fertility. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
For Nigeria, forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 4: -25/100. Progress in birth registration and immunization shows potential continuity, but national child stability and supports for family generations are not universal. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -25.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -25.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -80.3.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -25.00
Base: -25.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -25.00 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -2.00 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -2.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Family Formation — two-part calculation and marriage-law criterion
First half — the established family and fertility assessment
The original family score remains available. It combines 60% conditions for family life with 40% observed total fertility performance. Its source research is preserved.
Pre-policy score: -25.0
Second half — binary marriage-law policy criterion
This is a Trott Bailey Family policy preference, not an estimate of births lost. Recognition: −50 points. Reviewed non-recognition: 0 deduction. An unreviewed status stays pending and causes no deduction.
Country legal status: Not recognized in reviewed legal-status evidence
Deduction calculation: 50 × 0 = 0 points
Final category calculation: -25.0 − 0 = -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100, before any independent material-transfer deductions)
Same Sex Marriage (Prohibition) Act 2013 s. 1 prohibits legal marriage/civil union between persons of same sex. This is a legal-status finding, not a measured effect on fertility.
Legal-status source: Pew Research Center · 2014-01-07 · Reviewed: 2026-10-09
Fertility and family policy: research and source notes
Trott Bailey Family target and observed fertility The 5.0-children-per-woman target is an authored civilization benchmark; approximately 2.1 children per woman is the usual long-run replacement benchmark. The existing Family Formation method blends 60% lived family conditions and 40% measured fertility performance.
How policy is evaluated Assess housing, care, parental time, material security, access to family formation, and actual demographic outcomes. A government statement or law is not proof that national births increased or declined. Establish its effects with dated comparative evidence before assigning points.
How the two kinds of evidence differ The binary legal-status deduction is an authored TBF policy assessment, not a statistic of observed births. Carroll and Schumm argue that marriage-law changes can weaken procreative norms, while other empirical studies find no negative effect on different-sex family formation. This disagreement is disclosed rather than presented as scientific consensus.
Independent research OECD fertility trends (2024) · UN population projections (2024) · Peer-reviewed family-formation study (2015) · Carroll & Schumm — The Fall of Fertility (2016/2017) · Public Discourse (2015).
Trott Bailey Family thinking Courtship, Marriage & Married Life · Official Core World View · No Shrugging at Family Suffering.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 4: -25/100. Progress in birth registration and immunization shows potential continuity, but national child stability and supports for family generations are not universal. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025 · UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household surveyNigeria, methodology 09, rail 3: -75/100. Child poverty, early marriage and child safety problems show severe burdens on stable family flourishing; score is value-based and not a presumed cause of fertility. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025 · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyNigeria, methodology 09, rail 2: -25/100. Birth registration, child health, education and protection are distinct; Nigeria has no verified universal new-marriage land/home/care entitlement for couples. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 09, rail 1: +25/100. Family networks and children’s services exist, but UNICEF records two-thirds of children in multidimensional poverty; this does not prove comprehensive family support. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 09 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025 · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026For Nigeria, forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
The DHS ProgramFor Nigeria, forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
The DHS ProgramPublished indicators
The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
Source
5% weight
Land Access & Spatial Freedom
What this category measures
Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.
TBFC targetSuitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else. Access-gate research questionCan ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Compounds Are Civilization Circulation Systems
-76.1↓Money-gated · Evidence -9.0
Money-gated · Evidence -9.0
Score breakdown
Land Access & Spatial Freedom
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +56.0; Money-gated reading -59.1 × 25% = -14.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has extensive land and functioning agricultural areas, but area totals do not imply empty, suitable, socially unclaimed land for new families. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
The recorded value corresponds to a Reach-ladder step. The country evidence explains its practical access conditions.
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
Linked direct Money Gate: Housing / Land 0.00/4 with gate-specific source link. Physical reach can exist with paid access. Free-access Reach tiers must agree with this gate’s independently sourced no-payment population assessment. 4/4 is now reserved for reliable, accessible, universally free access. Neither score is copied blindly from the other.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -19.0; Money-gated reading -78.7 × 35% = -27.6 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 2: -25/100. Recognized family and communal tenure exist, yet there is no evidence of an automatic, free 50-hectare marriage-land entitlement available to all new couples. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -69.0; Money-gated reading -91.9 × 25% = -23.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 3: -75/100. Land access and housing investment remain affected by money, title processing, conflict and uneven security; customary tenure must not be represented as vacant. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, the 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
For Nigeria, the 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +6.0; Money-gated reading -72.2 × 15% = -10.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 4: +0/100. Working agricultural landscapes contribute food, but soil and forest pressure offset gains; neutral land return is inferred rather than assumed. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -15.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): +6.0. Effective evidence: -9.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -76.1.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -8.75 + -18.75 + 0.00 = -15.00
Base: -15.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +3.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -12.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -12.00 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -0.60 points
Nigerian national online media published the Foodway / Abundance argument for productive public and everyday land, moving the idea into national public discussion.
For Nigeria, this category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -0.6 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +112.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 4: +0/100. Working agricultural landscapes contribute food, but soil and forest pressure offset gains; neutral land return is inferred rather than assumed. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026 · Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest lossNigeria, methodology 10, rail 3: -75/100. Land access and housing investment remain affected by money, title processing, conflict and uneven security; customary tenure must not be represented as vacant. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026 · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyNigeria, methodology 10, rail 2: -25/100. Recognized family and communal tenure exist, yet there is no evidence of an automatic, free 50-hectare marriage-land entitlement available to all new couples. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 10, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has extensive land and functioning agricultural areas, but area totals do not imply empty, suitable, socially unclaimed land for new families. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 10 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty · FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026For Nigeria, the 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankFor Nigeria, the 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian national online media published the Foodway / Abundance argument for productive public and everyday land, moving the idea into national public discussion.
Read original publication
6% weight
Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
What this category measures
Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.
TBFC targetBeauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment. Access-gate research questionHow much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Trott Bailey Kingdom Systems
-75.4↓Money-gated · Evidence -6.3
Money-gated · Evidence -6.3
Score breakdown
Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has diverse public culture, recreation and scenic landscapes; measured 2026 life evaluation 4.788/10 is not a measure of the number of free parks. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 35% = -25.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 2: +0/100. The World Happiness Report puts Nigeria 106th at 4.788 in 2026; this cannot be converted into a national percentage with safe, nearby free public delight. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 3: -75/100. WJP order/security results and child safety problems support serious avoidable public-life friction; safety and free access are separate conditions. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 15% = -11.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 4: +0/100. Community social bonds and public life exist, but the subjective happiness measure does not certify the physical or social benefit of universally maintained Balushu public spaces. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria children and safe public-life outcomes 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -6.3. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -6.3. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -75.4.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + 0.00 + -18.75 + 0.00 = -6.25
Base: -6.25 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -6.3 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -6.25 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -0.38 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -0.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 4: +0/100. Community social bonds and public life exist, but the subjective happiness measure does not certify the physical or social benefit of universally maintained Balushu public spaces. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigeria children and safe public-life outcomes 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations · UNICEF Nigeria children and safe public-life outcomes 2025Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 3: -75/100. WJP order/security results and child safety problems support serious avoidable public-life friction; safety and free access are separate conditions. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 11, rail 2: +0/100. The World Happiness Report puts Nigeria 106th at 4.788 in 2026; this cannot be converted into a national percentage with safe, nearby free public delight. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household survey) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations · UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2023–25 household surveyNigeria, methodology 11, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has diverse public culture, recreation and scenic landscapes; measured 2026 life evaluation 4.788/10 is not a measure of the number of free parks. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 11 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Happiness Report 2026 Nigeria life evaluations · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
World Happiness ReportNigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
World Happiness ReportPublished indicators
6% weight
Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
What this category measures
Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.
TBFC targetRegenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable. Access-gate research questionAre regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Water Your Orchards With Life
-77.9↓Money-gated · Evidence -15.8
Money-gated · Evidence -15.8
Score breakdown
Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +53.0; Money-gated reading -59.8 × 25% = -15.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria retains significant forests and productive ecosystems, but Global Forest Watch records about 240,000 hectares of natural forest loss in 2025. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria forest area 18.9% in 2024) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -22.0; Money-gated reading -79.5 × 35% = -27.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 2: -25/100. The 2024 World Bank forest-area indicator (~18.9%) and GFW losses cannot be used as an invented functioning-land percentage across forests, grasslands and coastal regions. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -72.0; Money-gated reading -92.7 × 25% = -23.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 3: -75/100. Agricultural expansion and ecological pressure cause meaningful habitat and soil losses, though non-forest natural ecosystems must be assessed fairly. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -22.0; Money-gated reading -79.5 × 15% = -11.9 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 4: -25/100. Conservation and recovery initiatives exist; the evidence does not demonstrate a national sustained net improvement in soils, biodiversity and climate resilience. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -18.8. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): +3.0. Effective evidence: -15.8. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -77.9.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -18.75
Base: -18.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +1.50 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -17.3 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -17.25 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.04 points
Nigerian agricultural publication carried Foodway, Life-upon-Life field observation and Friction Economy thinking into a Nigerian agricultural context.
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +117.3
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 4: -25/100. Conservation and recovery initiatives exist; the evidence does not demonstrate a national sustained net improvement in soils, biodiversity and climate resilience. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 3: -75/100. Agricultural expansion and ecological pressure cause meaningful habitat and soil losses, though non-forest natural ecosystems must be assessed fairly. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss · FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 2: -25/100. The 2024 World Bank forest-area indicator (~18.9%) and GFW losses cannot be used as an invented functioning-land percentage across forests, grasslands and coastal regions. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss · FAO Nigeria food-security emergency outlook 2026Nigeria, methodology 12, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria retains significant forests and productive ecosystems, but Global Forest Watch records about 240,000 hectares of natural forest loss in 2025. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria forest area 18.9% in 2024) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 12 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss · World Bank Nigeria forest area 18.9% in 2024Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
2025-12-11 Federal Ministry of EnvironmentNigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
2025-12-11 Federal Ministry of EnvironmentPublished indicators
World Bank · 2023
SourceWorld Bank · 2022
SourceWorld Bank · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian agricultural publication carried Foodway, Life-upon-Life field observation and Friction Economy thinking into a Nigerian agricultural context.
Read original publication
5% weight
Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction
What this category measures
Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.
TBFC targetUsable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth. Access-gate research questionDo fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Pacorips Constitutional Foundations
-80.3↓Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Score breakdown
Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria has courts and functioning legal and identity institutions, but WJP 2025 scores 0.41 and ranks 120/143; order/security is 0.36. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in Nigeria) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
UNICEF describes conflict-driven displacement, insecurity and humanitarian needs in several Nigerian states, which obstruct daily safety and continuity for families.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 2: -25/100. Legal institutions alone do not prove that all residents can access affordable, timely independent remedies and child protection; actual reach extrapolated. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 3: -75/100. WJP Nigeria 2025 finds corruption and security weaknesses; conflict and displacement obstruct safe everyday public life and fair hearings. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in Nigeria) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 4: -25/100. Some redress and public accountability operate, but uneven effective enforcement and weak corruption controls limit reliable return. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -25.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -25.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -80.3.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -25.00
Base: -25.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -25.00 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.25 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.3 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 4: -25/100. Some redress and public accountability operate, but uneven effective enforcement and weak corruption controls limit reliable return. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 3: -75/100. WJP Nigeria 2025 finds corruption and security weaknesses; conflict and displacement obstruct safe everyday public life and fair hearings. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in Nigeria) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index · UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in NigeriaNigeria, methodology 13, rail 2: -25/100. Legal institutions alone do not prove that all residents can access affordable, timely independent remedies and child protection; actual reach extrapolated. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 13, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria has courts and functioning legal and identity institutions, but WJP 2025 scores 0.41 and ranks 120/143; order/security is 0.36. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in Nigeria) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 13 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Justice Project Nigeria 2025 Rule of Law Index · UNHCR 2025 displacement and conflict in NigeriaUNICEF describes conflict-driven displacement, insecurity and humanitarian needs in several Nigerian states, which obstruct daily safety and continuity for families.
2026-10-11 UNICEF Nigeria 2026 AppealPublished indicators
World Justice Project · 2025
SourceWorld Justice Project · 2025
SourceWorld Prison Brief · 2026
SourceWorld Prison Brief · 2025
Source
4% weight
Durability, Repair & Material Return
What this category measures
Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repaired, recovered and cycled instead of becoming waste; documented harmful acceptance of imported garbage or disguised low-utility dumping is deducted.
TBFC targetRepair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use. Access-gate research questionDo repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Repair Is Sovereignty
-80.3↓Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Money-gated · Evidence -25.0
Score breakdown
Durability, Repair & Material Return
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 1: +25/100. Repair and informal reuse markets function in Nigeria; national repairable design, safe e-waste handling and formal returns remain underdocumented. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Reach · 25-point ladder & linked Money Gate
Domestic Reach has eight 25-point intervals and nine anchors: −100, −75, −50, −25, 0, +25, +50, +75, +100. Existing readings retain their recorded scoring basis.
The transportation thresholds establish the 25-point reference scale, with category-specific evidence determining the Reach reading.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -8.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 35% = -28.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 2: -25/100. No complete household coverage figure for convenient, money-free garment/device/building repair is established; an informal repair market is not the same as universal accessibility. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Original evidence -75.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -75.0; Money-gated reading -93.4 × 25% = -23.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 3: -75/100. Waste burdens and limited traceability restrict safe material recovery. Imported plastic scrap alone does not establish harmful dumping or legal violations. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, the 2023/24 GHS reports 45.6% of households disposing refuse in bushes or streets, a major return-system gap despite policy and EPR infrastructure.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = -3.75 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 15% = -12.0 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 4: -25/100. Reuse and plastic recovery have economic roles, but safe processing and durable useful-life extensions nationally cannot be inferred from waste trade quantities. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, nESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
For Nigeria, nESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: -25.0. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: -25.0. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -80.3.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + -8.75 + -18.75 + -3.75 = -25.00
Base: -25.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -25.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -25.00 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = -1.00 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes -1.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +50.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 4: -25/100. Reuse and plastic recovery have economic roles, but safe processing and durable useful-life extensions nationally cannot be inferred from waste trade quantities. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915 · UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management OutlookNigeria, methodology 14, rail 3: -75/100. Waste burdens and limited traceability restrict safe material recovery. Imported plastic scrap alone does not establish harmful dumping or legal violations. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -75/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook · World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915Nigeria, methodology 14, rail 2: -25/100. No complete household coverage figure for convenient, money-free garment/device/building repair is established; an informal repair market is not the same as universal accessibility. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and poverty) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook · World Bank Nigeria 2026 country data and povertyNigeria, methodology 14, rail 1: +25/100. Repair and informal reuse markets function in Nigeria; national repairable design, safe e-waste handling and formal returns remain underdocumented. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 14 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNEP 2024 Global Waste Management Outlook · World Bank state spending Nigeria October 2026For Nigeria, nESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
2025-12-03 NESREAFor Nigeria, nESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
NESREAFor Nigeria, the 2023/24 GHS reports 45.6% of households disposing refuse in bushes or streets, a major return-system gap despite policy and EPR infrastructure.
National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
6% weight
International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
What this category measures
How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families can enter, remain, regularize status, prevent statelessness, build family continuity and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.
TBFC targetA country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society. Access-gate research questionWho can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute? International scoring method
Welcome research checks practical entry breadth, visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, lawful passport or citizenship pathways available to foreigners, birthright citizenship and statelessness prevention, parent/child family-status continuity, refugee recognition, migrant regularization, work/school/health access, family reunion and a credible national vision for newcomers to settle, contribute and grow with society.
A verified eVisa program open to more than 100 nationalities is recorded as a positive factual Welcome finding (the historical +5 scoring rule is retired). Researchers must verify the eligible-nationality breadth, not merely the existence of an online visa form. A lawful international citizenship/passport route available to qualifying foreigners is recorded as a Welcome access finding. The score must distinguish a usable transparent route from an expensive, narrow or highly discretionary program. Broad birthright citizenship, conditional territorial citizenship and statelessness safeguards are recorded with their precise legal eligibility and practical results. A system that leaves children without effective nationality, identity or durable status is a serious negative. A practical route that lets parents secure residence or citizenship through a child born in the country is documented for family-continuity review; long limbo, family separation or rules that strand the child between statuses reduce the score.
Refugee and migrant welcome is judged by lived access as well as admission: recognition, non-refoulement, legal documents, work, education, health care, family continuity, regularization, permanence and citizenship pathways all matter. Forced removal, refoulement, arbitrary detention, family separation and especially deporting or transferring people to unrelated third countries without a genuine durable-protection connection are negative Welcome evidence. Welcome is stronger when the country has a coherent plan for land, housing, work, contribution, family life and civic integration so newcomers are absorbed as people who can help the country grow, rather than warehoused indefinitely in camps or temporary limbo.
Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Refugee Living Should Be Glamorous, Purposeful and Liberating
-68.8↓Money-gated · Evidence +18.8
Money-gated · Evidence +18.8
International score breakdown
International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Original evidence +50.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +50.0; Money-gated reading -60.6 × 25% = -15.2 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has an operational electronic visa pathway covering tourism, academic exchange, business and other visits; paid eligibility and actual admission remain conditional. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria Immigration Service e-Visa official 2025 rules) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria Immigration Service eligible eVisa types and entry) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, eCOWAS citizens have a formal regional free-movement framework, but border-level implementation remains an active issue.
Nigeria participates in the ECOWAS Protocol on Free Movement of Persons, Right of Residence and Establishment; current ECOWAS work continues to assess implementation at the Nigeria-Benin border.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (30.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 30% = -22.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 2: +0/100. ECOWAS mobility and refugee access support practical migrant life; nationally integrated housing, work, healthcare, school and long-term stable rights remain uneven. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentation) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Nigeria's electronic visa project speeds some visitor applications, but does not establish no-fee travel or general residence permission.
For Nigeria, uNHCR reports roughly 140,000 refugees and asylum-seekers from more than 45 countries and states that refugees have access to employment, mobility and essential services under national arrangements.
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 3: +25/100. UNHCR reports Nigeria hosts roughly 140,000 refugees/asylum-seekers (mainly Cameroon) with government asylum registration; this merits a positive welcome score despite protection gaps. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, uNHCR records around 140,000 refugees and asylum seekers from more than 45 countries and notes legal access to work, movement and services.
For Nigeria, the electronic visa system is designed for end-to-end processing and shorter timelines. Visitor facilitation is recorded separately from residence, family continuity and refugee protection.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (20.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 20% = -14.7 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 4: +0/100. Residence documents and child registration exist, but full birthright nationality, durable family reunification and child statelessness protection cannot be proven universal. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2025 birth-registration module) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentation) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, eCOWAS mobility and refugee protection provide real regional routes, while legal status, documentation and actual service reach still vary.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: +18.8. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: +18.8. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -68.8.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + 0.00 + 6.25 + 0.00 = 18.75
Base: 18.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +18.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 18.75 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = 1.13 points
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 4: +0/100. Residence documents and child registration exist, but full birthright nationality, durable family reunification and child statelessness protection cannot be proven universal. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2025 birth-registration module) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentation) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNICEF/NBS MICS Plus 2025 birth-registration module · Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentationNigeria, methodology 15, rail 3: +25/100. UNHCR reports Nigeria hosts roughly 140,000 refugees/asylum-seekers (mainly Cameroon) with government asylum registration; this merits a positive welcome score despite protection gaps. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025 · UNICEF Nigerian Child 2025Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 2: +0/100. ECOWAS mobility and refugee access support practical migrant life; nationally integrated housing, work, healthcare, school and long-term stable rights remain uneven. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentation) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria Immigration Service ECOWAS residence documentation · UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025Nigeria, methodology 15, rail 1: +50/100. Nigeria has an operational electronic visa pathway covering tourism, academic exchange, business and other visits; paid eligibility and actual admission remain conditional. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria Immigration Service e-Visa official 2025 rules) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Nigeria Immigration Service eligible eVisa types and entry) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 15 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +50/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria Immigration Service e-Visa official 2025 rules · Nigeria Immigration Service eligible eVisa types and entryFor Nigeria, eCOWAS mobility and refugee protection provide real regional routes, while legal status, documentation and actual service reach still vary.
2026-10-11 UNHCR Nigeria country operationsFor Nigeria, uNHCR records around 140,000 refugees and asylum seekers from more than 45 countries and notes legal access to work, movement and services.
2026-10-11 UNHCR Nigeria country operationsNigeria's electronic visa project speeds some visitor applications, but does not establish no-fee travel or general residence permission.
2026-10-11 Nigeria Federal Ministry of Interior eVisa frameworkFor Nigeria, eCOWAS citizens have a formal regional free-movement framework, but border-level implementation remains an active issue.
2026-10-11 ECOWAS Nigeria-Benin free movement reviewFor Nigeria, the electronic visa system is designed for end-to-end processing and shorter timelines. Visitor facilitation is recorded separately from residence, family continuity and refugee protection.
2026-04-01 Nigeria Ministry of InteriorNigeria participates in the ECOWAS Protocol on Free Movement of Persons, Right of Residence and Establishment; current ECOWAS work continues to assess implementation at the Nigeria-Benin border.
2025-05-09 ECOWASFor Nigeria, uNHCR reports roughly 140,000 refugees and asylum-seekers from more than 45 countries and states that refugees have access to employment, mobility and essential services under national arrangements.
UNHCRPublished indicators
6% weight
External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
What this category measures
Documented effects of a country beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, mutuality, external harm, extraction, repair, and verified deductions for exported garbage, waste or disguised low-utility dumping.
TBFC targetA civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement. Access-gate research questionDo the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens? International scoring method
Legacy method: External Footprint documents independently verified beneficial action beyond the border, including medical missions, public-health help, scholarships, training, technical cooperation, disaster relief, humanitarian logistics, peacekeeping and other programs that leave useful capability with the receiving society. It also documents extractive conduct, exported environmental or human harm, coercive external security practices, abusive displacement outsourcing and whether documented harm is repaired, with a separately scored 6% category once four evidence-backed rails have been reviewed. Verified waste exports and disguised low-utility dumping are penalized through the transboundary harm ledger, as are irresponsible import acceptance practices through Domestic Durability & Material Return.
International contribution is investigated relative to capacity and quality, not raw size alone; documented outward activity is distinguished from independent benefit and local mutuality.
Dumping and harmful material transfers
Waste or disguised low-utility exports reduce External Footprint. Real reuse must be distinguished from disguised disposal. The sender retains responsibility for harms shifted abroad. Method v3: harmful imported garbage and low-utility dumping belong in External Footprint, where inbound transfer responsibility is 15% of the category. Historical method v2 import deductions remain archived under Domestic Durability until that country receives a sourced v3 score. Do not double-count.
Read the Trott Bailey Family work: When Another Nation Cleans Up Your Garbage
-73.4↓Money-gated · Evidence +1.3
Money-gated · Evidence +1.3
International score breakdown
External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Original evidence +25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation +25.0; Money-gated reading -67.2 × 25% = -16.8 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria participates in regional ECOWAS diplomacy/security, and regional refugee arrangements; an announced or conducted operation is not independently measured recipient improvement. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
Nigeria has served in UN peacekeeping missions for decades, including major roles in Liberia and other African operations.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 25% = -18.4 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 2: +0/100. Cooperation may assist neighbouring societies, but durable locally retained skills and recipient control have not been measured enough for a positive mutuality score. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
ECOWAS engagement across the Nigeria-Benin border serves mutual regional mobility but implementation remains incomplete.
Exact point calculation
-25.00 × (20.00 ÷ 100) = -5.00 weighted points
Original evidence -25.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation -25.0; Money-gated reading -80.3 × 20% = -16.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 3: -25/100. Cross-border security intervention and environmental externalities require harm-and-remedy scrutiny; a −25 proxy-led assessment is not a factual finding that every action was unlawful. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, world Bank country data document heavy dependence on petroleum exports and social vulnerability; precise downstream environmental accountability for exported fuels remains a research gap.
Nigeria is a major hydrocarbon producer/exporter. Attribution of downstream foreign emissions, labour effects and benefits requires a fuller ledger than the current pack supports, so this category remains unscored.
For Nigeria, current public datasets provide 133 Mt consumption-based CO2 for 2023 and 136 Mt territorial CO2 for 2024. They are retained as separate measurements rather than used to invent a trade-adjusted 2024 balance.
Exact point calculation
0.00 × (30.00 ÷ 100) = 0.00 weighted points
Original evidence 0.0; after proportional category-adjustment allocation 0.0; Money-gated reading -73.8 × 30% = -22.1 points. Original evidence and the adjustment stay separately identifiable.
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 4: +0/100. WITS HS3915 records ~8,319 tonnes plastic scrap exported and ~5,772 tonnes imported in 2024, but alone cannot establish either unlawful dumping or beneficial full recycling; neutral material score pending outcome proof. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
For Nigeria, uN Peacekeeping reports missions and personnel roles; lasting civilian outcomes, abuses and repair require mission-specific investigation.
The Money Gate is already included in the four readings. No second ceiling is deducted from this category. Displayed contributions are reconciled to two decimal places.
Adjustment and Money Gate arithmetic
Original weighted evidence: +1.3. Category adjustments (research, Adoption, family and/or transfer): 0.0. Effective evidence: +1.3. Money Gate ceiling: -47.5. Four Money-gated beleshky contributions total: -73.4.
The adjustment is distributed within beleshky score limits. The original 64 evidence readings are preserved for research review.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + 0.00 + -5.00 + 0.00 = 1.25
Base: 1.25 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +1.3 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 1.25 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 100.00 = 0.08 points
Material transfers: scored in International Footprint
Exporter responsibility: 0.00/100 (15% of footprint); importer responsibility: 0.00/100 (15% of footprint). Material movement is a real workload; these are TBF authored judgments, not certified illegal dumping estimates. Each role is included ONCE in the Footprint 3.1 published score.
Nigeria — 2024 export of plastic waste and scrap. Nigeria exported 8,318,520 kg and imported 5,772,130 kg of plastic scrap in 2024. Exports included shipments to the US and UK; the material needs separate chain-of-custody checks in both roles. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 export of worn clothing and other worn articles. Nigeria imported 724,859 kg of worn clothing in 2024; utility and post-import disposal are not established by value or weight. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 import of plastic waste and scrap. Nigeria exported 8,318,520 kg and imported 5,772,130 kg of plastic scrap in 2024. Exports included shipments to the US and UK; the material needs separate chain-of-custody checks in both roles. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 import of worn clothing and other worn articles. Nigeria imported 724,859 kg of worn clothing in 2024; utility and post-import disposal are not established by value or weight. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection
The material-transfer burden already affects the published score. Facility-specific downstream harm remains a separate research claim. No second penalty is added for the same trade.
For Nigeria, this category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across Nigeria’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
What the evidence found
Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 4: +0/100. WITS HS3915 records ~8,319 tonnes plastic scrap exported and ~5,772 tonnes imported in 2024, but alone cannot establish either unlawful dumping or beneficial full recycling; neutral material score pending outcome proof. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap exports HS3915 · World Bank WITS Nigeria 2024 plastic scrap imports HS3915Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 3: -25/100. Cross-border security intervention and environmental externalities require harm-and-remedy scrutiny; a −25 proxy-led assessment is not a factual finding that every action was unlawful. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest loss) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns -25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025 · Global Forest Watch Nigeria 2025 tree cover and forest lossNigeria, methodology 16, rail 2: +0/100. Cooperation may assist neighbouring societies, but durable locally retained skills and recipient control have not been measured enough for a positive mutuality score. ASSESSMENT BASIS: EXTRAPOLATED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +0/100 as a transparent extrapolated judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025 · World Bank Nigeria Development Update, October 2026Nigeria, methodology 16, rail 1: +25/100. Nigeria participates in regional ECOWAS diplomacy/security, and regional refugee arrangements; an announced or conducted operation is not independently measured recipient improvement. ASSESSMENT BASIS: PROXY-SUPPORTED. Source A (Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025) supports the stated Nigerian condition; Source B (UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025) supplies corroboration or a limiting comparison. TBF evaluates both against the published Category 16 nine-level rail ladder and assigns +25/100 as a transparent proxy-supported judgment. The assignment is not a measured nationwide share or an official source score. Where direct universal/free-service denominators are absent, no national figure is invented. Appeals may present better evidence and obtain a dated recalculation.
2026-10-18 Nigeria State House ECOWAS security intervention December 2025 · UNHCR Nigeria refuge/asylum profile 2025For Nigeria, uN Peacekeeping reports missions and personnel roles; lasting civilian outcomes, abuses and repair require mission-specific investigation.
2026-10-11 UN Peacekeeping Nigeria contribution recordFor Nigeria, world Bank country data document heavy dependence on petroleum exports and social vulnerability; precise downstream environmental accountability for exported fuels remains a research gap.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country overviewECOWAS engagement across the Nigeria-Benin border serves mutual regional mobility but implementation remains incomplete.
2026-10-11 ECOWAS cross-border mobility programmeNigeria has served in UN peacekeeping missions for decades, including major roles in Liberia and other African operations.
2026-10-11 UN Peacekeeping country profile NigeriaNigeria is a major hydrocarbon producer/exporter. Attribution of downstream foreign emissions, labour effects and benefits requires a fuller ledger than the current pack supports, so this category remains unscored.
World BankFor Nigeria, current public datasets provide 133 Mt consumption-based CO2 for 2023 and 136 Mt territorial CO2 for 2024. They are retained as separate measurements rather than used to invent a trade-adjusted 2024 balance.
Our World in Data / Global Carbon BudgetPublished indicators
Our World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2024
SourceOur World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2024
SourceOur World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2023
SourceTrott Bailey Family Civilization Target
The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping
Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.
This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can use all sixteen weighted categories: fourteen domestic plus International Welcome (6%) and External Footprint (6%), when each international category has four verified rail scores and dated source evidence. Unreviewed international rails remain pending, not zero. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.
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