Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile
Nigeria 🇳🇬
Country profile & diagnostic reading
Data updatedEvidence through 10 Oct 2026How the headline score is calculated
Evidence before Gate = Σ (published category score × category weight × research coverage) ÷ Σ (category weight × research coverage). The five-part Money Gate sets a proportional ceiling, with Friction already in the category evidence score.
Current evidence: +12.0 · Money Gate: 1.00/20 · Cash-register lock: +95.0 · Graded pressure: +95.0 · Headline: -70.6.
The fully detailed gate formula is explained in the Money Gate method; no international score can independently clear it.
TBF Rank TBF Rank Rank compares only published profiles. It follows the TBF Abundance Score, not GDP size, and can move when a country score changes or when another country enters the published table. Read Small Island Abundance Theory
Global standing based on life reachability
NigeriaLast recorded move: up from #191 to #188.Recent recorded movements
- #191 → #18811 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500
- #190 → #18711 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500
- #192 → #19111 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500
- #191 → #19211 Oct 2026 · 12:02 GMT-0500
Rank journey · newest first
Latest rank shown first · scroll left for earlier records · tap any dot to see its rank
National Abundance Gate Money Gate Food, Housing / Land, Healthcare, Transportation and Water / Energy are four points each. All five must reach 4/4 before the country can cross zero. Money may still exist as an exchange tool; it cannot remain the permission slip for these five basics. Read Money Is a Weak Civilization Engine
Graded status · five basics not fully cleared
Research Coverage Research coverage Coverage tells you how much of the weighted domestic framework has publishable evidence. Missing research stays missing; it is not silently converted into a zero score. Explore Trott Bailey Kingdom Systems
Coverage calculation
Sum of each published category weight × its verified research coverage ÷ 100. For the current country:
9.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 9.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 7.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 8.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 100.0% + 5.0 × 100.0% + 4.0 × 100.0% + 6.0 × 76.0% + 6.0 × 76.0% = 97.12% weighted coverage
Unreviewed international categories do not receive fabricated coverage or zero scores.
14 / 14 domestic categories scored; 2 / 2 international categories with documented research (scores require full audit)
GDP Rank GDP Rank GDP rank is context only. It can show how much money and production move through an economy, but it contributes zero points to the TBF Abundance Score. Read Make the World Truly Productive Again
Shown for context, not as the abundance ranking
Money Gate · Overall Gate 0.7.0
Five basics stand between this country and zero
All five basics must reach 4/4 before a country can cross zero. Open any gate reading to see exactly why its points were assigned and review the source record.
Food Food · 4 points Full credit means nutritious food is ordinary civilization provision without a checkout or poverty test. School meals and other narrow institutional routes can earn limited partial credit without being mistaken for free food abundance. Read A Civilization Laid Out in Orchards
Why 0.3 / 4?
National Home Grown School Feeding records a one-meal targeted route for participating primary pupils, but implementation continuity and current coverage are not proven nationally.
Point calculation
0.25 ÷ 4 × 100 = 6.25% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Housing / Land Housing / Land · 4 points Full credit means families can secure a home or suitable productive ground without rent, purchase price or mortgage debt deciding whether they may remain sheltered and grounded. Read the Distributed Founding Nuclei Strategy
Why 0.0 / 4?
Housing programmes and private construction exist, but no source here verifies a nationwide entitlement to no-payment family housing or land.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Healthcare Healthcare · 4 points Full credit requires dependable no-payment care across prevention, primary care, maternity, dentistry, medicine, emergency treatment and necessary specialist care. Read Money Zombie Outbreaks
Why 0.8 / 4?
The NHIA Vulnerable Group Fund can pay premiums for indigent and vulnerable people; state schemes vary and household reach is restricted.
Point calculation
0.75 ÷ 4 × 100 = 18.75% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Transportation Transportation · 4 points Full credit means ordinary movement is free across the routes people actually need. A free Sunday, one route or a temporary promotion earns only limited credit. Read The Caterport: Free Human Movement
Why 0.0 / 4?
Ordinary public transport entails fares, without a demonstrated nationwide zero-fare transport right.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
Water / Energy Water / Energy · 4 points Full credit requires both safe water and essential household energy to stay available without payment deciding whether cooking, cooling, washing, pumping or food preservation stops. Read Nucleus Formation Stewards
Why 0.0 / 4?
UNICEF documents severe water-sanitation gaps and dependent local supply; the evidence does not establish free nationwide household water and electricity.
Point calculation
0.00 ÷ 4 × 100 = 0.00% of this Money Gate rail. Five rails together can earn 20/20.
Points are assigned from the verified no-payment access rubric and actual national reach, not from the percentage alone.
- Food0.3 / 4
- Housing / Land0.0 / 4
- Healthcare0.8 / 4
- Transportation0.0 / 4
- Water / Energy0.0 / 4
- Money still needed19.0 / 20
Grey means points not yet earned toward fully money-free basic life—not a cash price or currency sum.
Why 1.0 / 20?
The Money Gate total is the sum of the five direct 0–4 readings. Every basic need remains visible separately so one strong area cannot hide another weak one.
Actual calculation
Food 0.25 + Housing / Land 0.00 + Healthcare 0.75 + Transportation 0.00 + Water / Energy 0.00 = 1.00 / 20
A country remains money-gated until the total reaches 20 / 20.
Why 95.0 / 100?
The five direct Money Gate readings total 0–20. Every point removes five of the 100 payment-lock units; a 7/20 reading produces a 65/100 lock.
Actual calculation
100 - (1.00 × 5) = 95.00
Why 85.8 / 100?
Friction is visible as its own 0–100 contextual reading from domestic category rails. Its effect is already in the evidence score and is not applied to the ceiling again.
Actual calculation
(100 - -71.65) ÷ 2 = 85.83 / 100
The weighted Friction rail comes from the published domestic category rails.
Why -47.5?
Each Money Gate point raises the negative ceiling by 2.5 points: 0/20 → −50, 7/20 → −32.5, 10/20 → −25, 19.5/20 → −1.25. At 20/20 the gate is removed, so the evidence score becomes the headline directly.
Actual calculation
95.00 = 95.00 (Friction already counted in category scores)
-50 + 2.5 × 1.00 = -47.5
16-category profile
All categories at a glance
All sixteen categories use the −100 to +100 evidence scale once verified. International Welcome and External Footprint remain pending until their rail scores are properly researched. Select a category for sourced findings and transparent calculations.
Category readings & evidence
Open any category for the full diagnostic reading
9% weight
Human Time & Burden Return
What this category measures
Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.
TBFC targetNecessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life. Access-gate research questionHow much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Family Shubaka: protecting human and family time
+10.0↓
Score breakdown
Human Time & Burden Return
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 11.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
The World Bank notes insufficient productive jobs and persistent poverty, limiting family time and mobility even where work exists.
Exact point calculation
40.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 14.00 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Employment-to-population ratio: 76.10 percent
Wage employment share: 14.40 percent
Exact point calculation
-70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The NBS Nigeria Labour Force Survey Q1 2024 questionnaire specifically records main and secondary jobs, working time, and income. Q1 2024 informality was 92.7%; this does not prove the share of people taking a second job to buy essentials.
Exact point calculation
15.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 2.25 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The World Bank notes insufficient productive jobs and persistent poverty, limiting family time and mobility even where work exists.
The NBS Nigeria Labour Force Survey Q1 2024 questionnaire specifically records main and secondary jobs, working time, and income. Q1 2024 informality was 92.7%; this does not prove the share of people taking a second job to buy essentials.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 11.25 + 14.00 + -17.50 + 2.25 = 10.00
Base: 10.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +10.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 10.00 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.93 points
This category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.9 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +5.0
What the evidence found
The World Bank notes insufficient productive jobs and persistent poverty, limiting family time and mobility even where work exists.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewThe NBS Nigeria Labour Force Survey Q1 2024 questionnaire specifically records main and secondary jobs, working time, and income. Q1 2024 informality was 92.7%; this does not prove the share of people taking a second job to buy essentials.
2024-03-31 Nigeria National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
8% weight
Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach
What this category measures
Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.
TBFC targetAdequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay. Access-gate research questionWhat share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Mother-Sight compound home
+17.5↓
Score breakdown
Housing, Shelter & Housing Reach
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
2026 Nigeria review — severe poverty constrains nonpayment shelter for many households; no specific no-fee housing programme documented in this source.
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 15.75 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Households owning dwelling: 70.40 percent
Urban households owning dwelling: 49.10 percent
Rural households owning dwelling: 80.10 percent
Exact point calculation
-55.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -13.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Households without toilet facility: 25.00 percent
Households disposing refuse in bushes or streets: 45.60 percent
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
2026 Nigeria review — severe poverty constrains nonpayment shelter for many households; no specific no-fee housing programme documented in this source.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + 15.75 + -13.75 + 3.00 = 17.50
Base: 17.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +17.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 17.50 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 1.44 points
This category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +5.0
What the evidence found
2026 Nigeria review — severe poverty constrains nonpayment shelter for many households; no specific no-fee housing programme documented in this source.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewPublished indicators
National Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
9% weight
Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
What this category measures
Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.
TBFC targetNutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend. Access-gate research questionCan people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Complete Reordering of Earth’s Food System
+6.0↓Base +4.5 · Adoption +1.5
Base +4.5 · Adoption +1.5
Score breakdown
Food, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
Exact point calculation
60.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 15.00 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 7.00 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Women meeting minimum dietary diversity: 30.00 percent
Exact point calculation
-85.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -21.25 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
People projected in Crisis-or-worse acute food insecurity: 36.30 million people
Analysed population projected in Crisis-or-worse: 17.00 percent
Children under 5 stunted: 40.00 percent
Children under 5 wasted: 8.00 percent
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 15.00 + 7.00 + -21.25 + 3.75 = 4.50
Base: 4.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +1.50 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +6.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 6.00 × (9.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.56 points
Nigerian agricultural publication carried the Trott Bailey Abundance Principle directly into a Nigeria food-security argument, including free food and measurement beyond GDP.
This category carries 9% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 9.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.6 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +94.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankNigeria has extensive crop, livestock and fisheries capability, but current access outcomes remain poor enough that capacity cannot be treated as nourishment reach.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankPublished indicators
FAO · 2026
SourceFAO · 2026
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian agricultural publication carried the Trott Bailey Abundance Principle directly into a Nigeria food-security argument, including free food and measurement beyond GDP.
Read original publication
6% weight
Water & Sanitation Abundance
What this category measures
Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.
TBFC targetSafe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power. Access-gate research questionCan households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Water Your Orchards With Life
-3.8↓
Score breakdown
Water & Sanitation Abundance
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 6.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
UNICEF records widespread unmet water and sanitation access and uneven services; a no-payment utility right has not been established.
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 7.00 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Population using safely managed drinking water: 29.90 percent
Population using safely managed sanitation: 32.20 percent
Population with basic handwashing facilities on premises: 31.30 percent
Exact point calculation
-80.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -20.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
UNICEF records widespread unmet water and sanitation access and uneven services; a no-payment utility right has not been established.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Safely treated domestic wastewater flows: 40.70 percent
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 6.25 + 7.00 + -20.00 + 3.00 = -3.75
Base: -3.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -3.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -3.75 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = -0.23 points
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes -0.2 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +5.0
What the evidence found
UNICEF records widespread unmet water and sanitation access and uneven services; a no-payment utility right has not been established.
2026-10-11 UNICEF Nigeria WASHPublished indicators
United Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
SourceUnited Nations Statistics Division · 2024
Source
5% weight
Energy & Household Capability
What this category measures
Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.
TBFC targetEssential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off. Access-gate research questionCan households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Trott Bailey Solar Moon Panel
+4.5↓
Score breakdown
Energy & Household Capability
Exact point calculation
40.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 10.00 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
The World Bank Nigeria overview notes broad service-delivery and income constraints; this source alone cannot establish stable or no-cost household power access.
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 8.75 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Households with electricity: 55.20 percent
Urban households with electricity: 79.80 percent
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Rural households with electricity: 29.90 percent
Households with earth or sand floor: 22.20 percent
Average household power blackouts per week: 6.70 blackouts/week
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 4.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The World Bank Nigeria overview notes broad service-delivery and income constraints; this source alone cannot establish stable or no-cost household power access.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 10.00 + 8.75 + -18.75 + 4.50 = 4.50
Base: 4.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +4.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 4.50 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.23 points
This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.2 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +15.0
What the evidence found
The World Bank Nigeria overview notes broad service-delivery and income constraints; this source alone cannot establish stable or no-cost household power access.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria country overviewPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
7% weight
Health & Care Reach
What this category measures
Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.
TBFC targetPrevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced. Access-gate research questionCan necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: No Shrugging Our Shoulders at Family Suffering
+5.5↓
Score breakdown
Health & Care Reach
Exact point calculation
40.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 10.00 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
NHIA describes a Vulnerable Group Fund for premium support, with state eligibility rules and uneven service reach.
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 10.50 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Antenatal care coverage: 63.00 percent
Births attended by skilled personnel: 46.00 percent
Postnatal coverage within two days: 42.00 percent
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Under-five mortality rate: 110.00 deaths per 1,000 live births
Neonatal mortality rate: 41.00 deaths per 1,000 live births
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
NHIA describes a Vulnerable Group Fund for premium support, with state eligibility rules and uneven service reach.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 10.00 + 10.50 + -18.75 + 3.75 = 5.50
Base: 5.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +5.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 5.50 × (7.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.40 points
This category carries 7% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 7.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +10.0
What the evidence found
NHIA describes a Vulnerable Group Fund for premium support, with state eligibility rules and uneven service reach.
2026-10-11 Nigeria National Health Insurance AuthorityPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
Source
6% weight
Education & Human Capability
What this category measures
Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.
TBFC targetFoundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income. Access-gate research questionWhich essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: What Is NoDumbDumbs?
+5.5↓
Score breakdown
Education & Human Capability
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 11.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
World Bank reports new 2025 education-system financing for basic learning and underserved children, an investment commitment rather than proven universal outcome.
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 8.75 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Primary-school net attendance ratio: 49.00 percent
Secondary-school net attendance ratio: 46.00 percent
Children one year below primary-entry age in organized learning: 59.00 percent
Exact point calculation
-70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Girls attending per 100 boys in primary/secondary: 94.00 girls per 100 boys
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
World Bank reports new 2025 education-system financing for basic learning and underserved children, an investment commitment rather than proven universal outcome.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 11.25 + 8.75 + -17.50 + 3.00 = 5.50
Base: 5.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +5.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 5.50 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.34 points
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.3 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +20.0
What the evidence found
World Bank reports new 2025 education-system financing for basic learning and underserved children, an investment commitment rather than proven universal outcome.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria education financingPublished indicators
The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
Source
4% weight
Mobility & Reachability
What this category measures
Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.
TBFC targetOrdinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall. Access-gate research questionCan ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: The Caterport: Free Human Movement
+10.5↓
Score breakdown
Mobility & Reachability
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Rail passengers in Q3: 743,205.00 passengers
Exact point calculation
35.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 12.25 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Road-traffic deaths recorded by FRSC: 5,421.00 deaths
Road traffic crashes recorded by FRSC: 9,570.00 crashes
People injured in recorded road crashes: 31,154.00 people
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 4.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + 12.25 + -18.75 + 4.50 = 10.50
Base: 10.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +10.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 10.50 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.43 points
This category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +15.0
What the evidence found
NBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
2024-12-12 National Bureau of StatisticsNBS reported Q3 2024 rail passenger traffic 25.05% above the same quarter of 2023, evidence of expanding usable rail capacity.
2024-12-12 National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
Federal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceFederal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceFederal Road Safety Corps · 2024
SourceNational Bureau of Statistics (Nigeria) · 2024
Source
8% weight
Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
What this category measures
Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, multiply generations, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers. New and re-reviewed profiles include total fertility as an explicit outcome signal.
TBFC targetPeople should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds. Access-gate research questionHow strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target? Fertility methodNew and re-reviewed Family Formation scores blend 60% lived family conditions with 40% fertility performance. Five children per woman is the 100/100 fertility target. The 2.1 replacement floor earns +25/100 fertility performance; below replacement declines proportionally, while rates above 2.1 rise progressively toward +100 at 5.0. Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Courtship, Marriage & Married Life
+9.8↓
Score breakdown
Family Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
Exact point calculation
50.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 12.50 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Total fertility rate: 4.80 births per woman
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 10.50 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Children under 5 whose births are registered: 40.00 percent
Children under 5 registered with a birth certificate: 28.00 percent
Currently married women using modern contraception: 15.00 percent
Exact point calculation
-65.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -16.25 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 12.50 + 10.50 + -16.25 + 3.00 = 9.75
Base: 9.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +9.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 9.75 × (8.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.80 points
This category carries 8% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 8.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Family Formation — two-part calculation and marriage-law criterion
First half — the established family and fertility assessment
The original family score remains available. It combines 60% conditions for family life with 40% observed total fertility performance. Its source research is preserved.
Pre-policy score: +9.8
Second half — binary marriage-law policy criterion
This is a Trott Bailey Family policy preference, not an estimate of births lost. Recognition: −50 points. Reviewed non-recognition: 0 deduction. An unreviewed status stays pending and causes no deduction.
Country legal status: Not recognized in reviewed legal-status evidence
Deduction calculation: 50 × 0 = 0 points
Final category calculation: +9.8 − 0 = +9.8 (clamped to −100..+100, before any independent material-transfer deductions)
Same Sex Marriage (Prohibition) Act 2013 s. 1 prohibits legal marriage/civil union between persons of same sex. This is a legal-status finding, not a measured effect on fertility.
Legal-status source: Pew Research Center · 2014-01-07 · Reviewed: 2026-10-09
Fertility and family policy: research and source notes
Trott Bailey Family target and observed fertility The 5.0-children-per-woman target is an authored civilization benchmark; approximately 2.1 children per woman is the usual long-run replacement benchmark. The existing Family Formation method blends 60% lived family conditions and 40% measured fertility performance.
How policy is evaluated Assess housing, care, parental time, material security, access to family formation, and actual demographic outcomes. A government statement or law is not proof that national births increased or declined. Establish its effects with dated comparative evidence before assigning points.
How the two kinds of evidence differ The binary legal-status deduction is an authored TBF policy assessment, not a statistic of observed births. Carroll and Schumm argue that marriage-law changes can weaken procreative norms, while other empirical studies find no negative effect on different-sex family formation. This disagreement is disclosed rather than presented as scientific consensus.
Independent research OECD fertility trends (2024) · UN population projections (2024) · Peer-reviewed family-formation study (2015) · Carroll & Schumm — The Fall of Fertility (2016/2017) · Public Discourse (2015).
Trott Bailey Family thinking Courtship, Marriage & Married Life · Official Core World View · No Shrugging at Family Suffering.
Abundance Gap: +20.0
What the evidence found
Forty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
The DHS ProgramForty percent of children under five are registered with civil authorities, leaving legal identity and access friction for many children.
The DHS ProgramPublished indicators
The DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceThe DHS Program / Nigeria · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare · 2024
Source
5% weight
Land Access & Spatial Freedom
What this category measures
Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.
TBFC targetSuitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else. Access-gate research questionCan ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Compounds Are Civilization Circulation Systems
+27.0↓Base +24.0 · Adoption +3.0
Base +24.0 · Adoption +3.0
Score breakdown
Land Access & Spatial Freedom
Exact point calculation
70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 17.50 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 15.75 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Households owning agricultural land: 47.10 percent
Rural households owning agricultural land: 69.20 percent
Urban households owning agricultural land: 25.60 percent
Exact point calculation
-55.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -13.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 4.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 17.50 + 15.75 + -13.75 + 4.50 = 24.00
Base: 24.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +3.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +27.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 27.00 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 1.39 points
Nigerian national online media published the Foodway / Abundance argument for productive public and everyday land, moving the idea into national public discussion.
This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.4 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +73.0
What the evidence found
The 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankThe 2023-24 GHS land inventory explicitly distinguishes plots with formal property rights, family/community land, rental and use rights, showing why physical access and formal control must be audited separately.
National Bureau of Statistics / World BankPublished indicators
Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceFederal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare / DHS · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian national online media published the Foodway / Abundance argument for productive public and everyday land, moving the idea into national public discussion.
Read original publication
6% weight
Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
What this category measures
Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.
TBFC targetBeauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment. Access-gate research questionHow much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Trott Bailey Kingdom Systems
+12.5↓
Score breakdown
Peace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
Exact point calculation
65.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 16.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 10.50 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
World Happiness Report life evaluation: 4.79 0-10 score
World Happiness Report rank: 106.00 rank
Exact point calculation
-75.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -18.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Internally displaced people in FAO emergency context: 500,000.00 people
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 4.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 16.25 + 10.50 + -18.75 + 4.50 = 12.50
Base: 12.50 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +12.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 12.50 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.77 points
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.8 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +35.0
What the evidence found
Nigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
World Happiness ReportNigeria has exceptional cultural, coastal, savannah and forest landscapes, while security, displacement and economic stress materially reduce the ability of many households to enjoy that capacity.
World Happiness ReportPublished indicators
6% weight
Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
What this category measures
Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.
TBFC targetRegenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable. Access-gate research questionAre regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Water Your Orchards With Life
+20.3↓Base +18.8 · Adoption +1.5
Base +18.8 · Adoption +1.5
Score breakdown
Living Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
Exact point calculation
65.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 16.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
Forest area: 23.20 percent of land area
Exact point calculation
40.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 14.00 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
-70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Annual freshwater withdrawals: 6.00 percent of internal resources
Territorial CO2 emissions per capita: 0.60 tonnes CO2 per capita
Exact point calculation
40.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 6.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 16.25 + 14.00 + -17.50 + 6.00 = 18.75
Base: 18.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +1.50 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +20.3 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 20.25 × (6.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 1.25 points
Nigerian agricultural publication carried Foodway, Life-upon-Life field observation and Friction Economy thinking into a Nigerian agricultural context.
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 6.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.3 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +79.8
What the evidence found
Nigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
2025-12-11 Federal Ministry of EnvironmentNigeria reports expanded restoration, carbon-market and circular-economy measures, but commitments are treated as return capacity rather than proof that ecological loss has been reversed.
2025-12-11 Federal Ministry of EnvironmentPublished indicators
World Bank · 2023
SourceWorld Bank · 2022
SourceWorld Bank · 2024
SourceAdoption: 1 archived public signal and source
Publications and documented uptake are archived for this particular category. Only independently verified, eligible signals can contribute to its bounded Adoption bonus; other records remain visible without assigning points.
Nigerian agricultural publication carried Foodway, Life-upon-Life field observation and Friction Economy thinking into a Nigerian agricultural context.
Read original publication
5% weight
Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction
What this category measures
Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.
TBFC targetUsable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth. Access-gate research questionDo fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Pacorips Constitutional Foundations
-0.8↓
Score breakdown
Justice, Safety & Institutional Friction
Exact point calculation
35.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 8.75 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
UNICEF describes conflict-driven displacement, insecurity and humanitarian needs in several Nigerian states, which obstruct daily safety and continuity for families.
Exact point calculation
25.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 8.75 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
WJP Rule of Law score: 0.40 0-1 score
Exact point calculation
-85.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -21.25 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
WJP Rule of Law global rank: 120.00 rank of 143
Pre-trial/remand share of prison population: 65.20 percent
Prison occupancy level: 125.60 percent of official capacity
Exact point calculation
20.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 3.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
UNICEF describes conflict-driven displacement, insecurity and humanitarian needs in several Nigerian states, which obstruct daily safety and continuity for families.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 8.75 + 8.75 + -21.25 + 3.00 = -0.75
Base: -0.75 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published -0.8 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: -0.75 × (5.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = -0.04 points
This category carries 5% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 5.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes 0.0 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +10.0
What the evidence found
UNICEF describes conflict-driven displacement, insecurity and humanitarian needs in several Nigerian states, which obstruct daily safety and continuity for families.
2026-10-11 UNICEF Nigeria 2026 AppealPublished indicators
World Justice Project · 2025
SourceWorld Justice Project · 2025
SourceWorld Prison Brief · 2026
SourceWorld Prison Brief · 2025
Source
4% weight
Durability, Repair & Material Return
What this category measures
Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.
TBFC targetRepair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use. Access-gate research questionDo repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing? Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Repair Is Sovereignty
+11.0↓
Score breakdown
Durability, Repair & Material Return
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 11.25 weighted points
Capacity rate, when evidenced = usable functioning capacity ÷ capacity needed × 100. A derived score requires separate documented judgement; do not assume the rate itself equals the score.
Why this score
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
30.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = 10.50 weighted points
Reach rate, when evidenced = people effectively served ÷ eligible people × 100. Check the same population, period and location.
Why this score
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
This reviewed profile predates rail-by-rail provenance. The verified category evidence used for the judgement is shown here without pretending that one source was archived exclusively for this rail.
Exact point calculation
-70.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = -17.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
The 2023/24 GHS reports 45.6% of households disposing refuse in bushes or streets, a major return-system gap despite policy and EPR infrastructure.
Exact point calculation
45.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 6.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 11.25 + 10.50 + -17.50 + 6.75 = 11.00
Base: 11.00 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +11.0 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 11.00 × (4.00 × 100.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 0.45 points
This category carries 4% of the scorecard. With 100% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.00%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +0.5 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
Abundance Gap: +15.0
What the evidence found
NESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
2025-12-03 NESREANESREA states that its EPR framework is implemented for used tyres, plastics, used electrical/electronic equipment and used lead-acid batteries, assigning producers responsibility for recovery, recycling and safe disposal.
NESREAThe 2023/24 GHS reports 45.6% of households disposing refuse in bushes or streets, a major return-system gap despite policy and EPR infrastructure.
National Bureau of StatisticsPublished indicators
6% weight
International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
What this category measures
How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families can enter, remain, regularize status, prevent statelessness, build family continuity and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.
TBFC targetA country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society. Access-gate research questionWho can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute? International scoring method
Welcome research checks practical entry breadth, visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, lawful passport or citizenship pathways available to foreigners, birthright citizenship and statelessness prevention, parent/child family-status continuity, refugee recognition, migrant regularization, work/school/health access, family reunion and a credible national vision for newcomers to settle, contribute and grow with society.
A verified eVisa program open to more than 100 nationalities is recorded as a positive factual Welcome finding (the historical +5 scoring rule is retired). Researchers must verify the eligible-nationality breadth, not merely the existence of an online visa form. A lawful international citizenship/passport route available to qualifying foreigners is recorded as a Welcome access finding. The score must distinguish a usable transparent route from an expensive, narrow or highly discretionary program. Broad birthright citizenship, conditional territorial citizenship and statelessness safeguards are recorded with their precise legal eligibility and practical results. A system that leaves children without effective nationality, identity or durable status is a serious negative. A practical route that lets parents secure residence or citizenship through a child born in the country is documented for family-continuity review; long limbo, family separation or rules that strand the child between statuses reduce the score.
Refugee and migrant welcome is judged by lived access as well as admission: recognition, non-refoulement, legal documents, work, education, health care, family continuity, regularization, permanence and citizenship pathways all matter. Forced removal, refoulement, arbitrary detention, family separation and especially deporting or transferring people to unrelated third countries without a genuine durable-protection connection are negative Welcome evidence. Welcome is stronger when the country has a coherent plan for land, housing, work, contribution, family life and civic integration so newcomers are absorbed as people who can help the country grow, rather than warehoused indefinitely in camps or temporary limbo.
Read the Trott Bailey Family work: Refugee Living Should Be Glamorous, Purposeful and Liberating
+45.5↓
International score breakdown
International Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
Exact point calculation
55.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 13.75 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
ECOWAS citizens have a formal regional free-movement framework, but border-level implementation remains an active issue.
Nigeria participates in the ECOWAS Protocol on Free Movement of Persons, Right of Residence and Establishment; current ECOWAS work continues to assess implementation at the Nigeria-Benin border.
Exact point calculation
34.00 × (30.00 ÷ 100) = 10.20 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria's electronic visa project speeds some visitor applications, but does not establish no-fee travel or general residence permission.
UNHCR reports roughly 140,000 refugees and asylum-seekers from more than 45 countries and states that refugees have access to employment, mobility and essential services under national arrangements.
Exact point calculation
58.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 14.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
UNHCR records around 140,000 refugees and asylum seekers from more than 45 countries and notes legal access to work, movement and services.
The electronic visa system is designed for end-to-end processing and shorter timelines. Visitor facilitation is recorded separately from residence, family continuity and refugee protection.
Exact point calculation
35.00 × (20.00 ÷ 100) = 7.00 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
ECOWAS mobility and refugee protection provide real regional routes, while legal status, documentation and actual service reach still vary.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 13.75 + 10.20 + 14.50 + 7.00 = 45.45
Base: 45.45 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +45.5 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 45.45 × (6.00 × 76.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 2.13 points
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 76% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.56%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +2.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
What the evidence found
ECOWAS mobility and refugee protection provide real regional routes, while legal status, documentation and actual service reach still vary.
2026-10-11 UNHCR Nigeria country operationsUNHCR records around 140,000 refugees and asylum seekers from more than 45 countries and notes legal access to work, movement and services.
2026-10-11 UNHCR Nigeria country operationsNigeria's electronic visa project speeds some visitor applications, but does not establish no-fee travel or general residence permission.
2026-10-11 Nigeria Federal Ministry of Interior eVisa frameworkECOWAS citizens have a formal regional free-movement framework, but border-level implementation remains an active issue.
2026-10-11 ECOWAS Nigeria-Benin free movement reviewThe electronic visa system is designed for end-to-end processing and shorter timelines. Visitor facilitation is recorded separately from residence, family continuity and refugee protection.
2026-04-01 Nigeria Ministry of InteriorNigeria participates in the ECOWAS Protocol on Free Movement of Persons, Right of Residence and Establishment; current ECOWAS work continues to assess implementation at the Nigeria-Benin border.
2025-05-09 ECOWASUNHCR reports roughly 140,000 refugees and asylum-seekers from more than 45 countries and states that refugees have access to employment, mobility and essential services under national arrangements.
UNHCRPublished indicators
6% weight
External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
What this category measures
Documented effects a country, its public institutions or materially supported programs have beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, medical and technical help, mutuality, external harm, extraction, accountability and repair.
TBFC targetA civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement. Access-gate research questionDo the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens? International scoring method
Legacy method: External Footprint documents independently verified beneficial action beyond the border, including medical missions, public-health help, scholarships, training, technical cooperation, disaster relief, humanitarian logistics, peacekeeping and other programs that leave useful capability with the receiving society. It also documents extractive conduct, exported environmental or human harm, coercive external security practices, abusive displacement outsourcing and whether documented harm is repaired, with a separately scored 6% category once four evidence-backed rails have been reviewed. Verified waste exports and disguised low-utility dumping are penalized through the transboundary harm ledger, as are irresponsible import acceptance practices through Domestic Durability & Material Return.
International contribution is investigated relative to capacity and quality, not raw size alone; documented outward activity is distinguished from independent benefit and local mutuality.
Dumping and harmful material transfers
Waste or disguised low-utility exports reduce External Footprint. Real reuse must be distinguished from disguised disposal. The sender retains responsibility for harms shifted abroad. Method v3: harmful imported garbage and low-utility dumping belong in External Footprint, where inbound transfer responsibility is 15% of the category. Historical method v2 import deductions remain archived under Domestic Durability until that country receives a sourced v3 score. Do not double-count.
Read the Trott Bailey Family work: When Another Nation Cleans Up Your Garbage
+24.4↓
International score breakdown
External Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
Exact point calculation
62.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 15.50 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
Nigeria has served in UN peacekeeping missions for decades, including major roles in Liberia and other African operations.
Exact point calculation
53.00 × (25.00 ÷ 100) = 13.25 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
ECOWAS engagement across the Nigeria-Benin border serves mutual regional mobility but implementation remains incomplete.
Exact point calculation
-28.00 × (35.00 ÷ 100) = -9.80 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
World Bank country data document heavy dependence on petroleum exports and social vulnerability; precise downstream environmental accountability for exported fuels remains a research gap.
Nigeria is a major hydrocarbon producer/exporter. Attribution of downstream foreign emissions, labour effects and benefits requires a fuller ledger than the current pack supports, so this category remains unscored.
Current public datasets provide 133 Mt consumption-based CO2 for 2023 and 136 Mt territorial CO2 for 2024. They are retained as separate measurements rather than used to invent a trade-adjusted 2024 balance.
Exact point calculation
36.00 × (15.00 ÷ 100) = 5.40 weighted points
Use the cited country-specific record to explain why this rail earned its points.
Why this score
UN Peacekeeping reports missions and personnel roles; lasting civilian outcomes, abuses and repair require mission-specific investigation.
Show the full category score calculation
Weighted rails: 15.50 + 13.25 + -9.80 + 5.40 = 24.35
Base: 24.35 · reviewed adjustment: 0.00 · Adoption: +0.00 · authored marriage-law deduction: −0.00 · verified transfer deduction: −0.00 = published +24.4 (clamped to −100..+100)
Contribution to national evidence: 24.35 × (6.00 × 76.00%) ÷ 97.12 = 1.14 points
Cross-border waste and low-utility goods deductions
A country sending harmful material abroad and a country allowing it onto its land are assessed separately. Beneficial second-hand reuse is not automatically dumping. A pending audit is not a zero-harm finding.
Nigeria — 2024 export of plastic waste and scrap. Nigeria exported 8,318,520 kg and imported 5,772,130 kg of plastic scrap in 2024. Exports included shipments to the US and UK; the material needs separate chain-of-custody checks in both roles. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 export of worn clothing and other worn articles. Nigeria imported 724,859 kg of worn clothing in 2024; utility and post-import disposal are not established by value or weight. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 import of plastic waste and scrap. Nigeria exported 8,318,520 kg and imported 5,772,130 kg of plastic scrap in 2024. Exports included shipments to the US and UK; the material needs separate chain-of-custody checks in both roles. The customs heading identifies traded material; neither permitted recycling nor proven harmful dumping follows from the heading. Source-level trade measurement is verified, downstream disposition is not.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 3915; not a downstream inspection
Nigeria — 2024 import of worn clothing and other worn articles. Nigeria imported 724,859 kg of worn clothing in 2024; utility and post-import disposal are not established by value or weight. A worn garment can be useful or trash; this audit has no shipment sorting/usable-share or recipient-facility record proving either outcome.
2024 trade data · checked 2026-10-11 · World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade · View source ↗
World Bank WITS / UN Comtrade, 2024 reporter imports/exports, HS 630900; not a downstream inspection
2024 trade flows have been checked and linked above. Their harmful impact has not yet been independently verified; therefore no new deduction is assigned. Additional recipient-site evidence is required to close a harm audit.
This category carries 6% of the scorecard. With 76% research coverage in this category, its effective researched weight is 4.56%. After normalization across the country’s researched categories, this category contributes +1.1 points to the national Evidence-before-Gate reading.
What the evidence found
UN Peacekeeping reports missions and personnel roles; lasting civilian outcomes, abuses and repair require mission-specific investigation.
2026-10-11 UN Peacekeeping Nigeria contribution recordWorld Bank country data document heavy dependence on petroleum exports and social vulnerability; precise downstream environmental accountability for exported fuels remains a research gap.
2026-10-11 World Bank Nigeria 2026 country overviewECOWAS engagement across the Nigeria-Benin border serves mutual regional mobility but implementation remains incomplete.
2026-10-11 ECOWAS cross-border mobility programmeNigeria has served in UN peacekeeping missions for decades, including major roles in Liberia and other African operations.
2026-10-11 UN Peacekeeping country profile NigeriaNigeria is a major hydrocarbon producer/exporter. Attribution of downstream foreign emissions, labour effects and benefits requires a fuller ledger than the current pack supports, so this category remains unscored.
World BankCurrent public datasets provide 133 Mt consumption-based CO2 for 2023 and 136 Mt territorial CO2 for 2024. They are retained as separate measurements rather than used to invent a trade-adjusted 2024 balance.
Our World in Data / Global Carbon BudgetPublished indicators
Our World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2024
SourceOur World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2024
SourceOur World in Data / Global Carbon Budget · 2023
SourceTrott Bailey Family Civilization Target
The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping
Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.
This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can use all sixteen weighted categories: fourteen domestic plus International Welcome (6%) and External Footprint (6%), when each international category has four verified rail scores and dated source evidence. Unreviewed international rails remain pending, not zero. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.
and then 
