Chad

Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Chad

Tracking baselineEvidence through 5 Oct 2026
TBF Rank #218 of 232 countries
ChadTrending down: previously #215, now #218.Recent recorded movements
  1. #215 → #2186 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500
TBF Abundance Score -82.7 Evidence before Abundance Gate -39.1 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #123 Coverage 92% Categories scored16 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.

Money Gate score 2.5 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 87.5 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 83.2 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -43.3
Food 0.5 / 4 Housing / Land 0.5 / 4 Healthcare 0.8 / 4 Transportation 0.3 / 4 Water / Energy 0.5 / 4
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
-62.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity-54.0
Reach-60.0
Friction-72.0
Return / Regeneration-63.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

High poverty keeps ordinary life strongly tied to cash and coping

Extreme poverty rose to about 36.5% in 2024 and human-capital outcomes remain very weak, so household time is heavily consumed by earning, informal work and service-seeking.

World Bank
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
-58.0

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity-50.0
Reach-56.0
Friction-68.0
Return / Durability-59.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Shelter reach is constrained by poverty, displacement and climate exposure

Large refugee and internally displaced populations add pressure to already limited housing and community infrastructure; no universal free household shelter route was verified.

UNHCR
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
-60.0

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity-52.0
Reach-58.0
Friction / Waste-70.0
Return / Multiplication-61.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Food insecurity and adaptive transfers coexist with major household need

Social-protection projects provide targeted cash and support, but ordinary nationwide zero-payment food reach is not established.

World Bank
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
-55.0

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity-47.0
Reach-53.0
Friction / Loss-65.0
Return / Regeneration-56.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

A major 2026 water grant targets persistent water-security gaps

The World Bank approved $160 million to expand water security and climate adaptation, confirming both meaningful public investment and substantial unmet reach.

World Bank
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
-62.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity-54.0
Reach-60.0
Friction-72.0
Return / Burden Removed-63.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Energy access remains a major capability constraint

Low income, climate exposure and weak infrastructure keep dependable household energy reach limited; no universal free-energy route was verified.

World Bank
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
-55.0

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity-47.0
Reach-53.0
Friction-65.0
Return / Prevention-56.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Public health and refugee health structures exist but capacity remains thin

Government and partners operate health centres and refugee health services, yet national human-capital outcomes show large remaining reach and quality gaps.

World Bank
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
-63.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity-55.0
Reach-61.0
Friction-73.0
Return / Capability-64.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Schools are being expanded for citizens and refugees, but learning capacity is weak

World Bank and UNHCR-backed programmes build schools and include refugees, while the national Human Capital Index remains only 0.30.

UNHCR
4% weightMobility & Reachability
-68.0

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity-60.0
Reach-66.0
Friction-78.0
Return / Time-69.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Long distances and sparse infrastructure create high mobility friction

A large landlocked territory, poverty and weak infrastructure make routine movement costly and time-intensive; no zero-fare national system was verified.

World Bank
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+8.8

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity-44.0
Reach-50.0
Friction-62.0
Return / Continuity-53.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Family Formation = 60% lived family environment (-52.00) + 40% fertility performance (100.00) from TFR 6.028 (2024); final 8.80.

Published indicators

Total fertility rate6.03 births per woman

World Bank WDI via FRED — Chad fertility · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Very high fertility is strongly positive, but family conditions remain difficult

The 2024 TFR is 6.028, above the TBF target of 5.0, while poverty, food insecurity and limited services materially burden families.

World Bank
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
-50.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity-42.0
Reach-48.0
Friction / Concentration-60.0
Return / Productive Ground-51.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Land is extensive but secure productive household access is not universal

Chad has large land resources, yet climate risk, conflict exposure and weak infrastructure prevent land capacity from becoming easy family abundance.

World Bank
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
-42.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity-34.0
Reach-40.0
Friction-52.0
Return / Delight-43.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Community and cultural life have value, but insecurity limits safe public enjoyment

Conflict spillovers, poverty and service scarcity reduce dependable access to safe, beautiful ordinary public life.

World Bank
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
-58.0

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity-50.0
Reach / Ecological Function-56.0
Friction / Loss-68.0
Return / Regeneration-59.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Climate vulnerability is extreme despite large living-ground capacity

Chad is among the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries; current investment is focused on water security and adaptation.

World Bank
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-55.0

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity-47.0
Reach-53.0
Friction-65.0
Return / Reliability-56.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Refugee inclusion is a positive institutional signal amid serious security pressure

Chad works with UNHCR to include refugees in education, health, resilience and livelihoods, while border-region insecurity and resource scarcity remain major friction.

UNHCR
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
-48.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity-40.0
Reach-46.0
Friction / Waste-58.0
Return / Circularity-49.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Infrastructure and services require sustained maintenance investment

New schools, health facilities and water works expand capacity, but recurrent funding and maintenance remain difficult in a low-income, climate-exposed setting.

World Bank
6% weightInternational Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
+61.7

How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbours can enter, remain, regularize status and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.

TBFC target: A country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society.

Access-gate research question: Who can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute?

Entry Accessibility+65.0
Migrant Practical Life+38.0
Refugee / Neighbour Welcome+72.0
Flexibility / Continuity+55.0
TBF reading

International Welcome 1.0.0: 25% Entry Accessibility, 30% Migrant Practical Life, 25% Refugee/Neighbour Welcome, 20% Flexibility/Continuity. Verified >100-nationality eVisa adjustment: +5 category points.

Verified evidence

Broad online visa access, birthright rules and very large refugee hosting materially lift Welcome

All visa applications for foreigners who require visas moved to the official eVisa platform in 2026; Chad also hosts around two million forcibly displaced people and evidence supports territorial citizenship safeguards. The >100-nationality eVisa rule earns the explicit +5 adjustment.

UNHCR
6% weightExternal Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
+33.8

Documented effects a country, its public institutions or materially supported programs have beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, mutuality, external harm, accountability and repair.

TBFC target: A civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement.

Access-gate research question: Do the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens?

Positive Contribution+40.0
Mutuality / Local Benefit+35.0
Documented Harm / Extraction+30.0
Accountability / Repair+30.0
TBF reading

External Footprint 1.0.0: 25% Positive Contribution, 25% Mutuality/Local Benefit, 35% low-harm/non-extractive conduct, 15% Accountability/Repair. Scale is judged relative to national capacity.

Verified evidence

Chad contributes security personnel abroad despite limited national resources

Chad committed a substantial police/gendarmerie deployment to the UN-backed Haiti security mission, giving positive external-contribution credit relative to national capacity.

Reuters

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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