Uzbekistan

Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile

Uzbekistan

Tracking baselineEvidence through 5 Oct 2026
TBF Rank #159 of 232 countries
UzbekistanTrending down: previously #156, now #159.Recent recorded movements
  1. #156 → #1596 Oct 2026 · 18:46 GMT-0500
TBF Abundance Score -65.9 Evidence before Abundance Gate +7.1 National Abundance Gate Money-gated · graded GDP Rank #59 Coverage 95% Categories scored16 / 16

Money Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0

Five basics stand between this country and zero

This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.

Money Gate score 4.5 / 20 Cash-Register Lock 77.5 / 100 Friction Economy Pressure 53.9 / 100 Money-gated ceiling -36.4
Food 0.8 / 4 Housing / Land 0.8 / 4 Healthcare 1.5 / 4 Transportation 0.5 / 4 Water / Energy 1.0 / 4
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
-5.0

Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.

TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.

Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?

Capacity+3.0
Reach-3.0
Friction-15.0
Return / Regeneration-6.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Human time burden

Rapid reform and falling poverty reduce some household burden, but ordinary life still depends heavily on paid income and employment quality.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
-10.0

Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.

TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.

Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?

Capacity-2.0
Reach-8.0
Friction-20.0
Return / Durability-11.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Housing and shelter reach

Housing supply and urban development are expanding, while affordable rental housing and ordinary household affordability remain material gaps.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+5.0

Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.

TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.

Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction / Waste-5.0
Return / Multiplication+3.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Food and nourishment reach

Agriculture and food production are substantial, yet ordinary households still buy food and vulnerable families remain exposed to prices and incomes.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
+15.0

Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.

TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?

Capacity+23.0
Reach+17.0
Friction / Loss+5.0
Return / Regeneration+13.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Water and sanitation reach

Water and sanitation investment has expanded reach, but water stress, irrigation demand and uneven service quality remain important constraints.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+10.0

Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.

TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.

Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?

Capacity+18.0
Reach+12.0
Friction0.0
Return / Burden Removed+8.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Household energy capability

Energy capacity and reform are advancing, while high resource intensity, reliability pressures and billed household energy preserve friction.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
+5.0

Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.

TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.

Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction-5.0
Return / Prevention+3.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Health-care reach

Health-system investment expands capacity, but service quality, medicines, distance and household costs still shape real access.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+15.0

Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.

TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.

Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?

Capacity+23.0
Reach+17.0
Friction+5.0
Return / Capability+13.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Education and human capability

Education is broad and reform is active, though quality and skills matching remain uneven and affect the return families receive from schooling.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+5.0

Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.

TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction-5.0
Return / Time+3.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Mobility and reachability

Transport and connectivity investment improve reach, but mobility is not universal zero-fare access and geographic disparities remain.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
+27.3

Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.

TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.

Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction-5.0
Return / Continuity+3.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Family Formation = 60% lived family environment (5.00) + 40% fertility performance (60.84) from TFR 3.486 (2024); final 27.34.

Published indicators

Total fertility rate3.49 births per woman

World Bank WDI via FRED — Uzbekistan fertility · 2024

Source

Verified evidence

Family formation and stability

Family supports coexist with money dependence and housing/work pressures; the 2024 fertility rate remains above replacement but below the 5.0 TBFC target.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
0.0

Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.

TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.

Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?

Capacity+8.0
Reach+2.0
Friction / Concentration-10.0
Return / Productive Ground-1.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Land and spatial freedom

Large agricultural land capacity exists, but ordinary productive-land access is governed through state and market arrangements rather than broad free access.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+10.0

Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.

TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.

Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?

Capacity+18.0
Reach+12.0
Friction0.0
Return / Delight+8.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Peace, beauty and delight

Everyday public life is comparatively stable, while political restrictions and regional/environmental pressures reduce the score.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
0.0

Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.

TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.

Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?

Capacity+8.0
Reach / Ecological Function+2.0
Friction / Loss-10.0
Return / Regeneration-1.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Living-ground resilience

Water scarcity, climate exposure and high resource intensity create resilience pressure despite active adaptation investment.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
-25.0

Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.

TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.

Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?

Capacity-17.0
Reach-23.0
Friction-35.0
Return / Reliability-26.3

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Justice, safety and institutional friction

Institutional reforms continue, but civic and political restrictions create significant justice and participation friction.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
+5.0

Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.

TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.

Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?

Capacity+13.0
Reach+7.0
Friction / Waste-5.0
Return / Circularity+3.7

Abundance Gap: +6.0

TBF reading

Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.

Verified evidence

Durability and material return

Infrastructure investment is substantial, but maintenance, material efficiency and circular return are not yet abundance-level systems.

World Bank — Uzbekistan
6% weightInternational Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
+17.0

How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbours can enter, remain, regularize status and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.

TBFC target: A country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society.

Access-gate research question: Who can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute?

Entry Accessibility+45.0
Migrant Practical Life+10.0
Refugee / Neighbour Welcome-25.0
Flexibility / Continuity+45.0
TBF reading

International Welcome 1.0.0: 25% Entry Accessibility, 30% Migrant Practical Life, 25% Refugee/Neighbour Welcome, 20% Flexibility/Continuity. Verified >100-nationality eVisa adjustment: +0 category points.

Verified evidence

International accessibility, migration and human welcome

Visa/eVisa access and major citizenship reforms improve entry and statelessness prevention, including citizenship for tens of thousands of formerly stateless people. UNHCR also notes that Uzbekistan still lacks a national asylum/refugee-status procedure, sharply limiting refugee continuity.

UNHCR Central Asia — Uzbekistan
6% weightExternal Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
+38.3

Documented effects a country, its public institutions or materially supported programs have beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, mutuality, external harm, accountability and repair.

TBFC target: A civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement.

Access-gate research question: Do the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens?

Positive Contribution+40.0
Mutuality / Local Benefit+35.0
Documented Harm / Extraction+45.0
Accountability / Repair+25.0
TBF reading

External Footprint 1.0.0: 25% Positive Contribution, 25% Mutuality/Local Benefit, 35% low-harm/non-extractive conduct, 15% Accountability/Repair. Scale is judged relative to national capacity.

Verified evidence

External footprint and non-extractive global conduct

Uzbekistan participates in regional and UN cooperation, including health, education, poverty, environment and Afghanistan-related humanitarian engagement. The footprint is constructive but not large enough to justify an exceptional score relative to national capacity.

Government of Uzbekistan — UN cooperation

Trott Bailey Family Civilization Target

The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping

Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.

This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.

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