Guernsey
Trott Bailey Family Abundance · Country Profile
Guernsey
Tracking baselineHistorical tracking baselineMoney Gate 20 · Overall Gate 0.7.0 Money Gate 20 Food, Housing / Land, Healthcare, Transportation and Water / Energy are four points each. All five must reach 4/4 before the country can cross zero. Money may still exist as an exchange tool; it cannot remain the permission slip for these five basics. Read Money Is a Weak Civilization Engine
Five basics stand between this country and zero
This profile has a direct five-part Money Gate audit. Any category below 4/4 keeps the whole country below zero.
9% weightHuman Time & Burden Return
+51.9
Whether productivity, infrastructure and institutions return usable lifetime to people and families.
TBFC target: Necessary contribution should not require people to sell most of their waking life merely to retain access to food, shelter, care and ordinary family life.
Access-gate research question: How much paid work or income-producing activity is required before an ordinary household can keep access to basic life, and what usable family time remains afterward?
Abundance Gap: +12.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Strong public spending and employment capacity support households, but housing, care, food, utilities and transport remain regular cash obligations.
States of Guernsey
8% weightHousing, Shelter & Housing Reach
+24.1
Whether adequate shelter physically exists and actually reaches people without excessive cost, exclusion or vacancy mismatch.
TBFC target: Adequate family shelter should remain reachable without lifetime dependence on rent, mortgage debt or ability to pay.
Access-gate research question: What share of ordinary shelter access depends on rent, mortgage debt, purchase price or other recurring payment, and what dependable non-market routes exist at national scale?
Abundance Gap: +47.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Local and Open Market housing systems manage a physically scarce island market; income support and policy interventions do not create universal zero-payment shelter.
States of Guernsey
9% weightFood, Nourishment & Free Food Abundance
+39.5
Physical food and nutrient capacity, nourishment reach, waste/loss, public edible landscapes and free food access.
TBFC target: Nutritious food should exist in multiplying abundance and remain reachable even when a household has no money to spend.
Access-gate research question: Can people obtain adequate nutritious food when they cannot pay, and are free/public/productive-food routes large enough to be ordinary rather than exceptional?
Abundance Gap: +38.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Food availability is high but mostly imported/purchased; household support is targeted rather than a national free-food route.
States of Guernsey
6% weightWater & Sanitation Abundance
+72.2
Safe water, sanitation, reliability, capture, reuse, storage and living-landscape water capacity.
TBFC target: Safe water and sanitation should be dependable life infrastructure, not conditional on household purchasing power.
Access-gate research question: Can households retain safe water and sanitation when income falls, and which payment, disconnection or infrastructure barriers interrupt access?
Abundance Gap: +8.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Modern island utility systems provide broad physical reach, but household services remain paid and capacity constrained.
States of Guernsey
5% weightEnergy & Household Capability
+64.8
Whether usable, reliable energy reaches households and removes burdens across water, food, health, cooling, cooking and movement.
TBFC target: Essential household energy should support cooking, cooling, water, food preservation and care without money becoming the switch that turns basic capability on or off.
Access-gate research question: Can households retain essential energy for cooking, cooling, water and food preservation when they cannot pay, and how often does price or disconnection reduce capability?
Abundance Gap: +14.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Energy services are reliable by small-island standards but remain bill-based and exposed to imported fuel and infrastructure costs.
States of Guernsey
7% weightHealth & Care Reach
+46.5
Whether prevention, primary care, medicine, maternity care, dentistry and specialist capability reach people when needed.
TBFC target: Prevention, maternity, dentistry, medicine and necessary treatment should be reachable because care is needed, not because payment can be produced.
Access-gate research question: Can necessary care be obtained because it is needed, or do price, insurance, employment, debt or other financial tests materially delay or prevent access?
Abundance Gap: +24.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Large public health/social-care expenditure provides substantial capacity, while GP, dental and other patient costs prevent a full zero-payment health route.
States of Guernsey
6% weightEducation & Human Capability
+71.3
Foundational learning plus practical, technical and enduring civilization capability retained by people.
TBFC target: Foundational learning and useful capability should be reachable as part of civilization life rather than purchased according to family income.
Access-gate research question: Which essential learning and capability routes are genuinely reachable regardless of family income, and where do fees, debt or paid enrichment create decisive access gaps?
Abundance Gap: +9.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Public education spending and institutions provide broad access; higher/specialist education may require off-island travel and expense.
States of Guernsey
4% weightMobility & Reachability
+51.9
Local, regional and national movement that connects people to family, services, work, learning and public life without consuming excessive time.
TBFC target: Ordinary local and regional movement should be available for family, care, learning and civic life without travel becoming a paywall.
Access-gate research question: Can ordinary people reach family, care, learning and public life without high recurring fares, vehicle costs, debt or fuel dependence?
Abundance Gap: +17.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Short distances reduce travel time, but buses, private vehicles, fuel and inter-island/off-island travel remain paid.
States of Guernsey
8% weightFamily Formation, Continuity & Child Stability
Fertility agenda · target 5.0
Family continuity is measured partly by whether children are actually multiplying. New and re-reviewed profiles use total fertility as 40% of Family Formation: 2.1 births per woman is the replacement floor and earns positive but limited credit; the authored target is 5.0.
Read A Civilization Built for Mothers and Fathers
+7.8
Conditions that let people form stable families, raise children, share parental time and continue family life without punishing material barriers.
TBFC target: People should be able to form, continue and multiply family life. Trott Bailey Family Civilization uses 5.0 children per woman as the fertility target; 2.1 is the replacement floor, not the aspiration, while housing, care, food and time should not be withheld behind financial thresholds.
Access-gate research question: How strongly do housing, childcare, health, food and work-income requirements delay or destabilize family formation and continuity, and is total fertility moving above replacement toward the 5.0-children-per-woman civilization target?
Abundance Gap: +38.0
Family Fertility Method 1.0.0: 60% lived-family rails + 40% fertility performance (-18.45/100 from TFR 1.370, 2026 projection, projected).
Published indicators
United Nations Population Division — WPP 2024, Guernsey · 2026
SourceVerified evidence
Family allowance and income support help, but housing scarcity and low projected fertility indicate strong family-formation pressure.
United Nations Population Division — WPP 2024, Guernsey
5% weightLand Access & Spatial Freedom
-8.3
Whether land and settlement choice reach ordinary people rather than opportunity being functionally trapped inside expensive commercial centres.
TBFC target: Suitable productive land and settlement opportunity should not be functionally reserved for those able to outbid everyone else.
Access-gate research question: Can ordinary families gain secure use of suitable productive ground without first accumulating enough money to purchase, finance or outbid others?
Abundance Gap: +57.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Land is exceptionally scarce and housing-market classification regulates who can occupy different stock; access is not free spatial abundance.
States of Guernsey
6% weightPeace of Mind, Happiness, Beauty & Delight
+73.6
Peace of mind, social support, everyday safety, public beauty, recreation, nature, culture and delight reachable without constant payment.
TBFC target: Beauty, nature, recreation, rest and public delight should belong to ordinary life rather than appearing mainly after payment.
Access-gate research question: How much everyday rest, nature, recreation, culture and public beauty is freely reachable, rather than principally accessed through paid venues, travel or private property?
Abundance Gap: +6.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Coast, cliffs, beaches and public landscapes offer high freely reachable beauty and recreation.
States of Guernsey
6% weightLiving Ground, Biodiversity & Resilience
+59.9
Whether soil, forests, wetlands, habitat, pollinators, species and water-holding landscapes are strengthening rather than being consumed.
TBFC target: Regenerating soil, water, habitat and food-bearing landscapes should be maintained as shared life-supporting capacity rather than only where a transaction makes them profitable.
Access-gate research question: Are regenerative land, water and habitat functions maintained as life-supporting infrastructure even when no direct commercial return is available?
Abundance Gap: +10.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Planning and environmental governance protect a small land base, but development pressure, waste and imported-resource dependence remain constraints.
States of Guernsey
5% weightJustice, Safety & Institutional Friction
+63.8
Physical safety, usable justice, legal identity, reliable public administration and low needless institutional burden.
TBFC target: Usable justice, legal identity, safety and ordinary administration should remain accessible regardless of wealth.
Access-gate research question: Do fees, legal costs, bail, fines, documentation costs or ability to hire expertise materially change access to justice, safety or public administration?
Abundance Gap: +13.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Small institutions are accessible and capable, though population-management, housing and immigration rules add procedural status gates.
States of Guernsey
4% weightDurability, Repair & Material Return
+40.7
Whether useful materials, infrastructure and goods are maintained, repairable, recovered and cycled instead of repeatedly becoming waste.
TBFC target: Repair, maintenance and useful material circulation should protect capability instead of forcing repeated repurchase as the default route to continued use.
Access-gate research question: Do repair and maintenance remain practically accessible, or do pricing, proprietary restrictions and replacement incentives turn continued use into repeated purchasing?
Abundance Gap: +19.0
Category Method 0.0.1: 25% Capacity, 35% Reach, 25% Friction, 15% Return/Regeneration.
Verified evidence
Repair capacity exists but imported parts/materials and small-market specialist labour keep repair and replacement costly.
States of Guernsey
6% weightInternational Accessibility, Migration & Human Welcome
+27.1
How easily visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbours can enter, remain, regularize status and participate in ordinary civic and economic life.
TBFC target: A country should have a humane vision for visitors, migrants, refugees and neighbouring families: practical entry, legal identity, family continuity, protection from statelessness, a route into ordinary life and a real place to contribute and grow with the society.
Access-gate research question: Who can enter and stay, how wide is visa-free/eVisa/eTA reach, can newcomers regularize status and work, are refugees and children protected from statelessness, can families remain together, and does the country have a practical long-term vision for newcomers to join ordinary life and contribute?
International Scoring 1.0.0: 25% entry accessibility, 30% migrant practical life, 25% refugee/neighbour welcome, 20% flexibility/continuity. No eVisa >100-nationality adjustment claimed unless independently verified.
Verified evidence
Guernsey actively plans for net migration to sustain its workforce, yet employment permits, population-management certificates and housing categories make welcome conditional.
States of Guernsey
6% weightExternal Footprint & Non-Extractive Global Conduct
+72.1
Documented effects a country, its public institutions or materially supported programs have beyond its borders: beneficial contribution, mutuality, external harm, accountability and repair.
TBFC target: A civilization should increase useful local capability beyond its borders through medicine, training, disaster help, technical cooperation, peace-building and other mutually useful contribution, while avoiding extraction, exported harm and displacement.
Access-gate research question: Do the country’s actions abroad increase health, skill, safety, resilience and locally retained capability, or do they export extraction, coercion, environmental harm, displacement, debt or other burdens?
International Scoring 1.0.0: 25% positive contribution, 25% mutual benefit, 35% non-extractive/low-harm conduct, 15% accountability/repair, judged relative to capacity.
Verified evidence
The Overseas Aid & Development Commission is a concrete positive contribution, while finance/import/aviation impacts and small-state capacity make the overall footprint mixed.
States of GuernseyTrott Bailey Family Civilization Target
The end state: life beyond monetary gatekeeping
Trott Bailey Family Civilization treats money as an exchange tool rather than a prerequisite for access to life. The long-run abundance target is that food, water, shelter, care, education, mobility, land access and ordinary public life remain reachable even when a person cannot pay.
This target is an authored civilization standard. The diagnostic evidence score can now draw from all 16 weighted categories. The five-part Money Gate remains a separate domestic threshold asking whether food, housing/land, healthcare, transportation and water/energy are genuinely reachable without payment before any civilization can cross zero.
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